Sports Picks For Sale - Wayne Root

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Biography

Wayne Root launched his career on FNN, and then starred on Proline and The Winning Edge TV shows to build the biggest brand in sports handicapping.

Active since:  1985

Location:  Las Vegas, NV

Wayne Root started his career at age 16 when the media dubbed him "The Betting Whizkid" and "the next Jimmy the Greek."  After graduating from prestigious Ivy League Columbia University, Wayne became the sports gaming expert on NBC Radio New York and NBC Radio Chicago.  Soon he was predicting NFL point spread winners on over 100 NBC Source Radio stations nationwide.  By age 27, Wayne was Jimmy “the Greek's” television partner on Financial News Network (now known as CNBC). ONLY IN AMERICA!  Wayne served as FNN’s Oddsmaker, NFL Analyst and host of its pregame and postgame football shows, including FNN Zone,  Huddle Up, Fantasy Zone, and The Fan Speaks Out.  He was also its anchorman for sports scores and updates.

Following FNN, Wayne was the star and rainmaker of the sports handicapping pregame show Proline on USA TV Network for 10 years. Wayne had the most expensive 900 (pay-per-call) numbers in U.S. telemarketing history:  $50 and $100 per call for his sports betting advice.  Millions of sports gamblers called for Wayne’s famous advice. 
 
Wayne’s national TV football pregame show, The Winning Edge aired from 2000 to 2009 on popular national television networks such as Fox Sports Net, Comcast Sports Net, Superstation WGN, Discovery and Spike TV. 
 
Wayne has been profiled by the biggest media in the world, including CNBC, CNN, The Wall Street Journal, Fortune, Equities, Worth, Success, Financial Times and Robb Report. 
 
Wayne literally “wrote the book" on sports gambling — three books to be exact...
 
ROOT on Risk: Betting to Win on Sports
The Zen of Gambling
The King of Vegas' Guide to Gambling
 
Wayne also co-created, co-executive produced and co-hosted a gambling reality TV show on Spike TV (King of Vegas).

In 2006, Wayne became the only Vegas oddsmaker or sports handicapper ever awarded a star on the Las Vegas Walk of Stars.  The Governor of Nevada presented Wayne's star at the ceremony.  It was named "Wayne Root Day" in the state of Nevada and Clark County (the city of Las Vegas).  Wayne's 180-pound granite star sits in the sidewalk on Las Vegas Blvd along with Vegas legends like Elvis Presley, Liberace, Frank Sinatra, Dean Martin, Sammy Davis, Jr., and Siegfield & Roy. 

Some recent highlights:

2020 January and February college basketball Pinnacles 18-8 (70%)
2019 MLB finished in top 5 in USA 
2019 NBA Playoffs 28-13 (68%)
2018 NFL Root Trust won 12 of 17 weeks (71%)
2018 MLB finished in top 8 in USA
2017 March Madness went 71%

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Finding Huge Upset Winners in the NBA

Tuesday, Feb 15, 2022

OUR INITIAL PREMISE I have my own beliefs on how to spot a huge live underdog in the NBA. A typical winning streak for a very good team may hit double figures. Conversely, about the longest winning streak for a bottom dweller is usually maxed at three games. It’s amazing how often that team just can’t win that fourth game. Afterwards, another long losing streak awaits. Additionally, those very bad teams typically only have one three game winning streak. Thankfully, there are more than one horrific NBA team. THE GOOD, THE BAD; THE UGLY The gap between the really good teams and the really bad ones is probably bigger in the NBA than in any other professional league. The haves are so far from the have nots right now, it’s like they are playing different sports. When teams like that meet on the court the result is typically predictable and far from surprising. That alerts our betting senses to begin our analysis, Every so often, though, one of the lesser teams in the NBA will shock one of the good ones. Therefore, we must look to see if the huge underdog is going for that third win in a row to start with. Because those upsets are rare you can make a very nice return if you can correctly spot when the upsets could happen. STRANGE LINE MOVES The most reliable way to spot potential upsets is to look at NBA games that have caught the eyes of smart money bettors. Hopefully since you’re reading this, you know about smart money and our seasoned professionals. If, for example, the Suns are playing a bad team then you would expect the large majority of the public money to be on the Suns. The line should either stay steady or increase as a result. If the line falls in a case like that, though, then it’s a clear indicator that someone has been betting very heavily on the underdog. That’s not something the public would do unless there was an obvious reason like a major injury, so it has to be the smart money that is getting thrown around. There are certainly worse things you can do than paying attention to where the smart money obviously is and following it; such as guessing on you own. SLUMPING STAR PLAYERS The betting public will always think that LeBron is always LeBron– probably the best player in the league. Sometimes, though, even LeBron doesn’t play like himself. The easiest single way to spot a situation where an underdog could have a good day is to find situations where the NBA star isn’t playing like a basketball star. It could be that the player has put together substandard performances a couple of games in a row, or that he seems to be injured or playing at less than full health. We’re even aware of ( or at least try too) problems at a star players home life or side businesses. Life happens to all of us. When a talent is dominant he can drag the whole team down if he isn’t at his best, and even a bad team can take advantage of that and so can you as a wanting successful sports bettor. LOOK AHEAD GAMES I love certain, timely. specific look ahead games. Too many sports bettors have zero idea on upcoming games as they rarely consult the schedule. Favorite looking past underdog happen all the time. A team won’t be at their peak performance in 82 games. The Lakers aren’t going to be thinking about their game against Sacramento very much if it comes the night before they play the Phoenix Suns. That doesn’t mean that they are going to play badly enough to lose, but combined with other factors it could put the underdog over the top. At the very least, it could give the underdog more of an edge than they would have had otherwise. Not only will the favorite not be too excited about the game, but the underdog could be particularly motivated to make some noise against one of the heavyweights. Bad teams love nothing more that gearing up to take down Mr Bigshot. That might just be their super bowl game; the closest they’ll get at best. RESTED CONDITIONS We also look for our rested underdog up against that tired favorite that’s played four games in six days. Teams that are well rested can have an extra jump in their step. More significantly, the time off could give the underdog more time to practice and to prepare specifically for the opponent. The NBA schedule can be very quirky and teams can play three games in four days one week, then not play for four days the next week. Teams understandably can get run down when the schedule is brutal especially if the games come on the road. A team coming off a long road trip is tired More importantly, they may have a busy first day home attending to the kids, wife, business and family matters. Imagine the distractions and issues of just opening the mail. That first game back at home is usually unfavorable to the home team big favorite. IN CONCLUSION If you have trouble pulling the trigger on that huge underdog, don’t be a stranger, after all, that’s our only job; to find that gem that pays big bucks. 

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The NFC Championship Game: Might Ticket Sales Impact The Spread?

Thursday, Jan 27, 2022

WAYNE KNOWS!!!  The San Francisco 49ers and Los Angeles Rams are set to square off on Sunday in the biggest matchup this rivalry has seen in over 30 years. The winner claims the NFC title and heads to Super Bowl 56 while the loser of is off to go golfing. Week 18 had everything on the line. LA opened as a 6.5-point favorite but the line closed at 3.5 points. The line and probably the games momentum, certainly played a very huge role in the outcome of that 49ers overtime win.   What was built into that line had much todo about the “perceived” home field advantage. The wealthy 49er fan bought up tickets in bundles. By game time, a sea of red jackets, jerseys and hats dominated the inside of Sofi Stadium. San Francisco posted a 27-24 overtime win at Los Angeles to clinch a berth in the 2022 NFL playoffs. Now the ticket war is on for the NFC Championship Game.   The first thing the Rams ticket office did was set up to only sell tickets to customers that had a Los Angeles zip code. That continued to sparked a war of words. The first words fired came from a players wife on a local Los Angeles radio show. She was begging that anyone that lived in SoCal should NOT sell their tickets to those living in the Bay Area.   That was the wife of LA quarterback, Matt Stafford. She was pleading that in their Week 18 game, Stafford couldn’t call an audible because of the crowd noise. She said he had to go to a silent count. We’re talking about a home game at SoFi Stadium. The home of the Rams. They totally lost their home field advantage for that all important game.   This week, the LA Rams are going all out to prevent this from happening again. Why? In the first 51 games of the NFC Championship, the favorites have gone 33-18 straight up. This is expected to be a very close game according to the Vegas Oddsmakers. The opening line saw the Rams as a -4 point favorite. Those sales limited anybody from Northern California from sweeping them up. As of now, the ticket request has opened up for all. The request from the united 49er fans brought the line down to -3.5.   The purpose of this article is that three (3) points are usually calculated for the home field advantage. It’s up to everyone to decide it this is a correct line and additionally the response from the oddsmakers in lowering the point spread.   This is the length that a professional handicapper like a Wayne Allyn Root looks into and considers as part of his analysis. Remember, handicapping is not all X’s and O’s. Sometimes one has to go outside of the box when experience goes up against the oddsmakers.

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NFL Week 17: Top 10-Ranked Teams

Thursday, Dec 30, 2021

Handicapping is a difficult task. Making the profitable grade yearly for 36 years is daunting and has its moments. But I remain successful. At the start of this week’s handicapping, there are 230 players among the NFL Covid protocol. Many will be cleared and many will play. And some may also be added between Wednesday and Sunday’s game time. As any good professional, we will make the proper adjustments and move from five (5) games to releasing our top three (3) games. The top three is where the money has been made for my 36 year handicapping career. Here’s to no cancellations or game day changes. Thank You, WAR 10. Arizona Cardinals (10-5) Could Kliff Kingsbury actually end up back on the hot seat? The calls for Kliff Kingsbury to be fired will only get louder if the Cardinals flame out of the playoffs. Coach Cool has his issues, but firing a winning coach without a solid upgrade plan usually ends in disaster. Just ask the Lions. Furthermore, center Rodney Hudson is a player that might not be on the stats page. Hudson is Kyler Murray's eyes and ears on the line of scrimmage, helps set the protection, alerts Murray and the rest of the offense to formations and takes care of the rest of the lineman on seemingly a play-by-play basis. Whenever Hudson is out, the Cardinals struggle in some way. He has missed five games thus far this season, and Arizona has lost three of them 9. Buffalo Bills (9-6) They’ve finally realized that they need to let Josh Allen carry the offense. Dion Dawkins said it best after the Bills' win over the Patriots: "Josh [Allen] makes a quarter of a billion dollars. Josh is worth every penny." Let’s also look at their defense.  The league's No. 1 pass defense in a variety of categories is anchored by the safety duo of Jordan Poyer and Micah Hyde. They are the only safety tandem in the NFL with at least five interceptions each this season. They are individually tied for the fourth-most interceptions in the NFL this season and have combined for 19 passes defensed (10 Hyde, 9 Poyer). That’s nice to have in the pass orientated league.  8. Cincinnati Bengals (9-6) Joe Burrow has thrown for 941 yards (!) in two games against the Ravens this season. Baltimore DC Don Martindale might want to update his list of quarterbacks who deserve the "gold jacket" treatment from his defense. Cincinnati wanted an immediate playmaker when it drafted WR Ja’Marr Chase, and it certainly appears to have that in the 2019 Biletnikoff Award winner. NOW; beat the Chiefs, and everyone will be on notice about these Bengals. 7. Tennessee Titans (10-5) That win against the 49ers serves as a reminder of how dangerous this team can be. What a difference A.J. Brown makes. The star receiver dominated the 49ers' patchwork secondary and showed Tennessee can still be dangerous in January, especially if Derrick Henry returns. Chances are Jeffrey Simmons is the catalyst every time there's a big play from the Titans' defense. Simmons' ability to collapse the pocket from the interior has led to multiple interceptions by the Titans. He anchors the middle of the defensive line by routinely blowing up interior offensive linemen and stopping opposing ball carriers for a loss.  6. Indianapolis Colts (9-6) RB Jonathan Taylor's production has helped lighten quarterback Carson Wentz's load significantly, and the running back's ability to dominate on the ground helps keep a defense that has forced 31 turnovers this season fresh throughout the game. The Colts should be a threat in the AFC playoffs, but their most significant obstacle to a deep run might be COVID-19. Indianapolis has among the lowest — if not the lowest — vaccination rate in the NFL, including quarterback Carson Wentz. A dome team perhaps has the best chance of winning in the elements in the postseason. BUT, all I hear and read is that the Colts are the team nobody wants to play. Hopefully the players aren’t reading the same comments.  5. Los Angeles Rams (11-4) The dodged a bullet on the road at Minnesota. Elite teams win road games in which their quarterbacks throw three interceptions. After a winless November, the Rams swept their December schedule and now are back on top in the NFC West. Now we get to find out if Matthew Stafford is the Super Bowl-worthy quarterback many (including me) claimed he could be while wasting away in Detroit. After all, he has Cooper Kupp. Kupp is setting a new standard with more than 90 receiving yards in 11 consecutive games. With the additional 17th game, Kupp is on pace to tie the single-season receptions record and break the single-season receiving yards mark.  4. Dallas Cowboys (11-4) The slump that Dak Prescott wasn’t in is now over. The Cowboys' offense finally came alive Sunday while playing against the Football Team. When Dak is locked in, Dallas is hard to beat. Hopefully, the old adage that defense wins in playoffs is still true. LB Micah Parsons should be a lock selection for the Defensive Rookie of the Year Award and also should be one of the top contenders for the Defensive Player of the Year. Parsons leads the team in sacks, has made key plays in key moments and has dominated at the line of scrimmage and off the ball.  3. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (11-4) It’s hard to feel sorry for Tom Brady. as the injuries keep piling up. Can they keep winning despite them? A year after having the best injury luck in the NFL, the Bucs have been decimated as the playoffs approach. If anyone can drag a team to the Super Bowl by himself, it's old No. 12. His big problem though is that there's no way to replace what WR Chris Godwin brings.  2. Kansas City Chiefs (11-4) Maybe they needed to bottom out before they could start climbing again.After 16 weeks, we are right back where we started — wondering if anyone in the AFC has what it takes to knock off the Chiefs. S Tyrann Mathieu still leads the Chiefs in interceptions (with three) and fumble recoveries (also with three). He also is the locker room leader who wouldn't let the Chiefs quit on themselves after the season's rotten start. Maybe he’s the answer for those perceived defensive woes.  1. Green Bay Packers (12-3) Aaron Rodgers, Aaron Jones and DeVonte Adams might be the best triangle of offensive power in the NFL.Adams is arguably the best receiver in football right now, and his connection with Rodgers is unmatched. What's more, teams have been known to dedicate so much attention to him, like the Ravens did in Week 15, that his presence alone is invaluable. It’s not always pretty, but the outcome was very sweet for Green Bay as the Browns shots themselves in the foot last Sunday. The sportsbooks dodged many money line bets. 

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NFL Week 16: Top-10 Ranked Teams

Thursday, Dec 23, 2021

There are so many teams still in the playoff race that the next three weeks will be the most exciting finals in years.   10. Buffalo Bills (8-6) Sean McDermott, the AFC's Mike McCarthy, is ready for another shot at the Patriots. The victory over Carolina, combined with a Patriots loss in Indy, puts destiny in Buffalo's hands. Beat the Pats on Sunday in Foxborough and take care of business against the Falcons and Jets, and this frustrating regular season will end with the desired result: a division title and home playoff contest next month. Will these Bills rise to the occasion? Be careful now as the preseason predictions are needing validation. It all comes down to Sunday at New England. 9. Los Angeles Chargers (8-6) What were they thinking? Over and over, the Chargers passed on easy points on Thursday night in favor of bold risks that didn’t pay off. Two trips inside the Kansas City 5-yard line ended with fourth-down incompletions; another trip imploded with a goal-line fumble. I guess we are in the beginning of the new analytics. The only mistake Brandon Staley made vs. the Chiefs was not going for two when the Chargers were up seven. Every other decision was sound. He believes in his team, and they’ll be dangerous in January. The coach had the final word; “ With a quarterback like ours, with an offense like ours, that’s how we’re going to play.”. Others say; “ The future is bright. The present is murky.”. 8. Indianapolis Colts (8-6) Once again, it was Jonathan Taylor to the rescue. One Jonathan Taylor run ended a decade-plus of the Colts getting outcoached, out-toughed, and outplayed by the Patriots. These Colts are contenders even with a Carson Wentz-sized weight around their ankles. Frank Reich remained committed to the run down the stretch, showing a noticeable lack of faith in Carson Wentz. The Colts have proven their bona fides as legit AFC contenders. They’ll go as far as Jonathan Taylor takes them. 7. Arizona Cardinals (10-4) There’s much to love about the final quarter of the NFL season. From a number one seed to possible wild card, in the course of six days. The Cardinals have now lost four of seven after their 7-0 start. Sunday brought the season's most disappointing moment: a 30-12 defeat to the Lions. Kyler Murray says the Cardinals aren’t about to fold down the stretch like they did last season. I’ll believe it when I see it. And this week is set to witness against a very hot opponent. A home showdown with the surging Colts should tell us a lot about Kliff Kingsbury's team. 6. Dallas Cowboys (10-4) The Cowboys lead the league with 23 interceptions and are tied for first in takeaways with 31. The D will take Big D to an NFC East title, but there's no road back to the Lombardi unless the offense finds its groove. Ugly wins are still wins, especially when other high-end NFC contenders are losing. The Cowboys have become the NFC version of what the Chiefs were in the AFC for much of this season: a team filled with high-profile stars on offense getting regularly carried by its defense. Dak Prescott hasn't looked right since he returned from injury. The Cowboys need No. 4 to get back to balling if they want to make any noise in January. 5. New England Patriots (9-5) The Hood should be in a bad mood this week at practice. The lack of energy in the first half was uncharacteristic for a  Bill Belichick team. The seven-game winning streak is a memory after multiple uncharacteristic mistakes and breakdowns in fundamentals led to a 27-17 loss to the Colts on Saturday night. The Patriots beat themselves for three quarters and still almost came back to knock off the Colts. The AFC is still there for Mac and Hoodie to take on Sunday against the Bills. 4. Los Angeles Rams (9-4) Survive and advance. After three straight losses, three straight wins. How many more will there be? The Rams worked their way through the COVID-19 week from hell, then found a way in a 20-10 win over the Seahawks. The Rams now find themselves tied with the Cardinals atop the NFC West with three games to play. This should be fun. The Rams appear to have benefitted from their game vs. the Seahawks being pushed back to Tuesday. The Seahawks are losing guys to the COVID list as the Rams get healthier. Them’s the breaks. The Offensive Player of the Year Award should come down to Cooper Kupp. 3. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (10-4) A 17-game season is a war of attrition, and the Bucs lost a huge battle on Sunday night. Brady struggled without his key playmakers, committing two turnovers in his first shutout loss in over 15 years. The Saints are Tom Brady’s Kryptonite, but the Bucs have bigger issues than a loss to the Saints as Mike Evans, Chris Godwin and Leonard Fournette all left Sunday’s game with injuries putting the team's hopes for a playoff bye in serious doubt. Mike Evans (hamstring), Chris Godwin (knee) and Leonard Fournette (hamstring) all exited leaving Tom Brady in a vulnerable and frustrating situation. As much as the coaching staff deserves blame for the implosion against the Saints, it also deserves a ton of credit for helping this team win 10 games despite being decimated in the secondary. Time for Brady to find more magic and take over this year’s destiny. 2. Kansas City Chiefs (10-4) Just like that, the Chiefs are back in first place in the AFC. Same as it ever was. The Chiefs are on the verge of winning their sixth straight AFC West crown, and they control their own destiny toward winning the AFC's top playoff seed. Is Travis Kelce the teams MVP? Kelce has rarely performed like a dominant force this season, so consider the veteran's sudden re-emergence as a game-wrecker an early Christmas present for the Chiefs and their fans. Kelce lit up the Chargers for a career-high 191 yards and two touchdowns on 10 catches. Three straight Super Bowl appearances suddenly isn’t out of the question. 1. Green Bay Packers (11-3)  The Packers are 11-3 despite their special teams being dog water. They might be impossible to beat if they ever get that ironed out. Aaron Rodgers, meanwhile, is now in the driver's seat for his fourth MVP award (and second in as many years). Rodgers posted three more TD passes and has been the league's best quarterback for the past month. Crunch-time performance counts in this race ... or at least it should. Can they finish the job this year?  

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NFL Week 15: Top 10-Ranked Teams

Wednesday, Dec 15, 2021

The NFL is widening and separating the cream of the crop from the rest. This group should all plan on a trip to the post-season. However, going cold with an 0-4 finish or someone knocking on the top 10 elite and posting a perfect 4-0 finish could make the playoffs very interesting.  10. Indianapolis Colts (7-6) They’ll be the toughest out in the AFC playoff field. And the pestiest underdog in the playoffs. The Colts enjoyed the advantage of a late bye and now have everything in front of them, with back-to-back matchups against the Patriots and Cardinals. The Colts jumped from ninth in the AFC to sixth Sunday. Not a bad way to spend a bye week. Much has been made about the Colts' poor record against quality opponents, but their last three losses -- to the Ravens, Titans and Bucs -- were all games in which Indy led or was tied in the fourth quarter. If the Colts learn how to close out games, there is no ceiling on their season.  9. Tennessee Titans (8-4) If they get Derrick Henry back for the playoffs, they’ll be a problem and he’s on track for week 18. Mike Vrabel crushed Urban Meyer’s soul (if he has one) Sunday. That’s the rare Ohio State on Ohio State crime you rarely see. Finally, and most importantly, the Titans won a football game for the first time in nearly a month. The tape from a 20-0 shutout of the lowly Jaguars is unlikely to be shipped to Canton, but the victory was absolutely necessary as Mike Vrabel's team looks to navigate through its injury quagmire to lock up another AFC South title and make a push for the No. 1 seed. 8. Los Angeles Chargers (8-5) If they can get consistent, they can get deep into January. But do they ever?Justin Herbert is a freakin’ cyborg. Herbert delivered another excellent performance, hooking up on a highlight-reel touchdown connection with Jalen Guyton for the second straight week while becoming the first QB in NFL history to reach 30 touchdown passes in each of his first two seasons. The Chargers welcome the Chiefs to SoFi Stadium on Thursday night with a golden opportunity to make the AFC West very interesting. These Herbert vs Mahomes affairs should get prime-time billing every season.  Especially with Wayne Root sitting at 25-10 in Primetime games this years (71%).   7. Dallas Cowboys (9-4) The Cowboys' defense was a big-play machine in Sunday's win over the Washington Football Team. Defensive end Randy Gregory returned to the lineup and made two huge plays, an acrobatic interception that led to a Dallas touchdown and the strip-sack of Kyle Allen that sealed the win in the fourth quarter. Micah Parsons also continued to build on his outrageous rookie season with a sack-fumble that produced a touchdown. Micah Parsons should win every defensive award this season. Hell, we might need to create a new award for him. Micah Parsons should play offense, too. 6. Los Angeles Rams (9-4) Desperation always is the difference maker. So much for the talk that Sean McVay's team was "too soft" to hold its own with the NFL elite. It got a little scary at the end, but the Rams were the better group in a 30-23 win over the Cardinals, a game that could swing not just the NFC West but the balance of power in the conference as the playoffs inch closer. Matthew Stafford just got his first ever career win against a team that was five or more games above .500. Playing in Detroit isn't for the faint of heart, kids.  5. Kansas City Chiefs (9-4) They’re back, even if no one wants to accept it. During their six-game winning streak, the Chiefs have scored 89 points against the Raiders and 74 points in the other four wins. The offense played its most efficient game of the season against Las Vegas, winning the battle up front and avoiding its two biggest issues: turnovers and drops. The final score is perhaps a bit misleading for a team that managed a comparatively pedestrian total of 372 yards of offense.  4. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (10-3) Four straight wins and a final stretch with favorable matchups could mean that the road to this year’s Super Bowl will go through the place where last year’s Super Bowl was played. Tom Brady’s 700th touchdown pass of his career was a perfectly placed spiral to a wide-open Breshad Perriman, who motored untouched into the end zone for the 58-yard game-winner. Brady is now 107-1 in games in which his team leads by 21 or more at any point, and the Bucs remain just a step behind the Packers in the race for the No. 1 seed in the NFC. Brady is playing his best football at age 44. Just absurd stuff we’re witnessing.  3. New England Patriots (9-4) New England has the NFL's No. 1 scoring defense (allowing just 15.4 points per game) and the No. 3 total defense (310.0 yards per game allowed). The numbers are even better during the team's seven-game winning streak: Opponents have averaged just over 10 points per game, with the Pats forcing at least one turnover in every one of those contests. This ends in a Bucs-Pats Super Bowl and the world exploding, doesn’t it? The No. 1 seed is within their grasp. It’ll be a disappointment at this point if they don’t get it. 2. Arizona Cardinals (10-3) Do they have the experience and maturity to win high-stakes games? The Cardinals look like a contender, but the self-inflicted wounds in prime time are a concern.  In a game where Los Angeles' best players stepped up to cover for the loss of Jalen Ramsey, several of Arizona's top stars weren't up for the challenge. Kyler Murray made physical and mental errors, DeAndre Hopkins had a crucial fourth-down drop and was largely neutralized in coverage, and no one on the Cardinals' defense stepped up to make any game-changing plays.  1. Green Bay Packers (10-3) Did you hear that Aaron Rodgers has a broken pinkie toe? Aaron Rodgers is the star, but Matt LaFleur doesn’t get enough credit for his in-game coaching adjustments. The magic he worked Sunday to get Davante Adams open in the second half allowed Rodgers to keep owning the Bears. The reigning MVP delivered a masterful performance on Sunday night against the Bears and has thrown 10 touchdown passes against zero interceptions with a completion percentage just shy of 70 percent since Week 11. When you combine this version of the offense with a top-10 defense, it adds up to the best, most complete team in the NFL.

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NFL Week 14: Top 10-Ranked Teams

Friday, Dec 10, 2021

The top and bottom of the rankings are becoming clearer by the week, but both the NFC and AFC playoff pictures are a disgusting blob of mediocre teams. Some teams have a quarterbacking issue. Others are going through a rash of bad injury luck. These teams can step on the gas and make a deep playoff run, but things must start falling into place.   10. LA Chargers (7-5) Last weeks game at Cincinnati is not meant to dissolve the Chargers of their … Chargering. They turned the ball over 3 times and blew a 22-point lead. I didn’t know who this team was before this game, and I’m still not sure if I do. I love their offensive potential. I even love their offense as it is, with coordinator Joe Lombardi taking some of the firepower away from Justin Herbert. But LA’s defense is still struggling. They don’t defend the run, and they don’t really have the talent to consistently see good results against the pass. The Chargers have a ton of potential, but I’m not sure if they’re ready to truly compete in the AFC even they’re only one game out of the AFC West. They need to play a good game this week against the Giants to give everyone some confidence moving forward.  9. Buffalo Bills (7-5) The Bills have been wildly inconsistent on offense all season. Things could have been different for the Bills against the Patriots had it been a normal game day. Ridiculous wind gusts made things anything but that, however, in a 14-10 loss, Buffalo clearly did not have good play in the trenches which is going to hurt them in the long run. The Monday NightFootball game against the Patriots had awful weather and shouldn’t be used for or against either team in an argument about who’s better. Now for the real test as they play Brady and the Bucs.  8. Indianapolis Colts (7-6) Since October 1, the Colts are 7-3. Their bye week comes at a fantastic time, as they’ll come out of it facing the New England Patriots and Arizona Cardinals. After a loss to the Bucs, a close one at that, the Colts got back to winning ways and thrived on both sides of the ball. The Texans stood little chance, getting blown out and shutout, 31-0 as Indy RB Jonathan Taylor had two TDs. An overarching theme for this team is running the ball well and having Carson Wentz avoid unnecessary mistakes. Defensively, they’re full of high-variance playmakers. That could come in handy in the playoffs, as they may be outmatched on paper in the Wild Card round. 7. Dallas Cowboys (8-4) The Cowboys handled the Saints on Thursday, 27-17. The win came as Dallas defensive coordinator Dan Quinn had to step in for Mike McCarthy as acting head coach due to COVID-19. The Cowboys had some big plays on offense while their defense had four interceptions. Their defense has performed as a top-five unit in the league this season. Dallas’ offense has immense talents everywhere you look, yet they don’t currently seem to have much firepower on that side of the ball. They’re probably one of the more well-rounded teams in the NFL, but they’re not playing like it. The Cowboys haven’t run the ball well in what feels like a lifetime, and the passing attack looks stale in comparison to its early-season output. The offense must figure it out before the playoffs sneak up. 6. Los Angeles Rams (8-4) The Rams and Matthew Stafford needed a get-right game, and there are few better options than this Monday night playing Arizona. The Rams finally got right against the Jags, taking a huge 37-7 victory. As the score indicates, Los Angeles was in control. WRs Cooper Kupp, Van Jefferson and Odell Beckham Jr. caught touchdown passes from QB Matthew Stafford. The Rams defense forced two turnovers as well. But that was against Jacksonville. This week is for all the marbles in the NFC West. The Rams travel to Arizona to try and get revenge on their divisional opponents for handing them an emphatic 17-point loss in Week 4. Maybe the Rams can get respectable with a win as the Rams’ offensive line looked better than it has in weeks.  5. New England Patriots (9-4) No team has played better over the past month, but I still wonder about the Patriots’ ceiling. They had a particularly difficult matchup on Monday Night Football – they weren’t just facing the Buffalo Bills, but the weather as well. The Patriots essentially gave the Bills their playbook and said we are going to run it every play. They still won. New England took a big step toward locking up the AFC East, but the conference is far from settled. 4. Kansas City Chiefs (8-4) I believe the Chiefs are most dangerous team in the NFL aside from a Tampa Bay squad getting healthy and a Cardinals club that’s been the most consistent in the league. Since Week 8, Kansas City’s defense ranks third in the NFL in EPA/play against, which is almost inconceivable after watching their start to the season. The Chiefs kept their AFC West lead with a 22-9 win over the Broncos. Was it ever in doubt? KC coach Andy Reid is now 20-3 coming off of a bye. This one wasn’t your typical Kansas City win, though. The defense took center stage as the offense wasn’t anything special. That included S Daniel Sorensen’s 75-yard pick-six interception to put it away. If the defense can continue at the pace they’re on, no team is more terrifying once the playoffs roll around. 3. Green Bay Packers (9-3) The Packers needed a bye week. They’ve lost integral pieces to their offensive line, and Green Bay must decide how they’ll best combat that. The bye also gets them one week closer to hopefully seeing David Bakhtiari back on the field. Yet, the offense hasn’t necessarily struggled, despite the losses on the front line. Their schedule is not too difficult after the bye, giving them a shot at the top seed in the NFC, with the ability to get key pieces back for a playoff run. 2. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (9-3) There are three constants in this life: Death, taxes, and Tom Brady throwing touchdowns to Rob Gronkowski. Is the Tom Brady-Gronk combination back? Sure looks like it in Tampa. The QB and TE connected for two scores while Brady was 39-for-51 passing with four total scores in a 30-17 win over the Falcons. The Bucs might’ve gotten a little cute at the end of the half, but showed they weren’t messing around the rest of the way. It was a bit surprising to see the Falcons have some success on the ground against the Buccaneers, but that isn’t something that should be a worry moving forward. Tampa Bay’s game against the Bills next week might decide whether they can usurp the Cardinals for the top seed in the NFC. 1. Arizona Cardinals (10-2) The Cardinals came in and took care of business against an inferior team, and they didn’t have to press themselves at all throughout. Playing the Bears allowed Kyler Murray to slowly work his way back into the game after missing four weeks and three games. QB Kyler Murray looks more than back. In his return from injury, Murray had four total touchdowns… but that wasn’t the only four for the Cards. Arizona’s defense came to play as well, notching four interceptions against the Bears in a 33-22 final. This Cardinals team looks for real. The Cardinals have a real game this weekend against their division rival; LA Rams. 

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NFL Week 13: Top 10-Ranked Teams

Saturday, Dec 04, 2021

10. Buffalo Bills (7-4): The Bills feasted on the Saints on Thanksgiving and lost star cornerback Tre’Davious White in the process. We’ll find out if the Bills have righted the ship next Monday against the Patriots. If the Bills are going to win the division, they’re going to have to earn it with a couple of games coming up against the Patriots. The AFC East title will be on the line in two meetings with the Patriots over the next four games, beginning Monday in Buffalo. The season-ending knee injury suffered by CB Tre’Davious White is a major loss. 9. Los Angeles Rams (7-4): If the Rams can just add a few more big-name players, maybe they can play their way out of the playoffs entirely. The Greatest Show-Offs on Turf may be shown the door early in the 2021 postseason, if they even get there. OBJ’s dad is probably already firing up Final Cut Pro to make another independent film of a QB throwing uncatchable balls to his son. Anyway, their Super Bowl-or-bust season is trending decidedly toward bust.  8. Dallas Cowboys (7-4):  The Cowboys have lost three of their last four games, and Jerry Jones is complaining about the officials.They can complain all they want about the officiating during the Thanksgiving defeat to the Raiders. But if they had played better, it wouldn’t have mattered. Things might be starting to wobble in Big D, but a Thursday night date with the skidding Saints should help them get back on track. Since beating the Vikings with Cooper Rush, the Cowboys are 1-3 but the Cowboys have made the NFC East race at least mildly interesting again  7. Baltimore Ravens (8-3):  Only a great team can overcome four interceptions by its quarterback and win. The Ravens are incredibly flawed, but as long as they have Lamar Jackson they have a chance. They will need Jackson to play better, but they’re right in the mix among the top AFC contenders, and now all that matters is which one of those teams can raise its level most down the stretch. 6. Cincinnati Bengals (7-4):  After an off-week, Cincinnati has cobbled together back-to-back wins and seems to have found its early-season form again. The Bengals may be the best overall team in the AFC North. In a “changing of the guard” moment, the Bengals humiliated the Steelers on Sunday and now can truly set their sights on an AFC North title and a playoff berth. If Mixon can remain a factor to complement the passing-game exploits of QB Joe Burrow and WR Ja’Marr Chase, this is a dangerous offensive team. It’s a new day in The Jungle. 5. Kansas City Chiefs (7-4):  They have played much more like themselves lately, with wins in four straight and five of six. The post-bye schedule begins with three straight AFC West games. Can they have the same kind of post-bye surge that the Bucs enjoyed a year ago? The Chiefs exit the bye to face the Broncos, Raiders, and Chargers in the span of 11 days. They can put the AFC West away in quick order if they are indeed back.  4. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (8-3):  Another Sunday, another game-winning drive for Tom Brady. Expect anything different? A year after Bruce Arians gave Leonard Fournette an ultimatum, Fournette has given Tampa Bay a critical road win. However, it still doesn’t appear QB Tom Brady and the Buccaneers have kicked it into high gear, at least not the way they did down the stretch last season.  3. New England Patriots (8-4):  The Patriots ran their winning streak to six with Sunday’s convincing triumph over the Titans. The Titans rushed for 270 yards but still left Foxboro with their tail between their legs after getting blown out. It would have seemed inconceivable even just a few weeks ago that the Patriots would be in the mix for the No. 1 seed in the AFC. Yeah, I’m thinking Bill Belichick is back. So, who will they play in the Super Bowl? 2. Green Bay Packers (9-3):  At 9-3 heading into their bye, the Packers should only get better from here on out with Za’Darius Smith, Jaire Alexander, and David Bakhtiari all working their way back. Broken toe, COVID toe.  None of those are going to slow down Aaron Rodgers. Just keep that toe immunized from the pain. As long as he remains able to play at this level, the Packers’ chances are as good as anyone’s to emerge from the jumble of leading NFC contenders. 1. Arizona Cardinals (9-2):  The Cardinals return from their bye with the prospect of having QB Kyler Murray and WR DeAndre Hopkins back in the lineup soon. Their biggest concern during the bye week is whether their coach will bid farewell and return to the Big 12. Lincoln Riley going to USC was a quick and easy way for Kliff Kingsbury’s agent to secure a raise for his client. You don’t actually think the guy with a 9-2 record and a generational QB is going to leave the NFL to go to Norman, do you?

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NFL Week 12: Top 10-Ranked Teams

Wednesday, Nov 24, 2021

10. Indianapolis Colts (6-5): After surviving a 1-4 start, the Colts look like one of the most dangerous teams in the unpredictable AFC. But why can’t Jonathan Taylor win MVP? The Colts are 6-0 in games in which he rushed for over 100 yards. This dome team is built for the elements, which will serve them well if they get to the postseason. Bold prediction: Indy wins the AFC South.  9. Baltimore Ravens (7-3):  Lamar Jackson’s illnesses are making Ravens fans a little queasy. Ten games in, the Ravens are a 5-5 masquerading as a 7-3 outfit. But the bill is about to come due. Damn, they’re even making me queasy. The Ravens are getting by on guts right now: Marquise Brown joined Jackson as an inactive on Sunday, while 15 players are parked on injured reserve. Survive and advance. 8. Tennessee Titans (8-3):  Go figure. The Titans are the epitome of this upside-down season, winning seven games against 2020 playoff teams while also losing to the Jets and Texans. No Derrick Henry, no Julio Jones and now A.J. Brown is banged up. The Titans’ offense needs someone to save it, but Ryan Tannehill isn’t up to the task. Tennessee has shown no hints of mounting a sustainable offense since Henry went on the shelf after foot surgery three weeks ago. This all feels like terrible timing for a game against the red-hot Patriots, but Mike Vrabel's Titans have a habit of overcoming the odds.  7. Los Angeles Rams (7-3): If the Rams are the type of team that gains motivation from the doubts of others, well, last week's bye might have been a very productive week. The Greatest Show-offs on Turf need to show something at Lambeau this week or else. The Rams can tweet about going all-in-all they want. But it’s time they show they are more than just empty expectations and a roster assembled on Madden. QB Matthew Stafford heads back to Lambeau Field, where he’s 3-7 all time.  6. Dallas Cowboys (7-3):  An excellent performance by the defense should have put the team in position to make a huge statement at Arrowhead. Instead, Dallas shrunk in the spotlight, fueling speculation we're watching another Cowboys team that's more sizzle than steak. Don’t look now, but here come the Eagles. But for that to matter they need to deal with injuries and the Raiders. The good news for Dallas after its 19-9 loss to the Chiefs? The imploding Raiders are coming to town on Thanksgiving. The bad news? The Cowboys have been outscored 66-45 by the AFC West this season. Oof.  5. Kansas City Chiefs (7-4):  The Chiefs look like a team ready to restore order in the chaotic AFC. The defense is getting back to its former form. Now we’ll see if the offense eventually can do the same. Melvin Ingram’s arrival has allowed Chris Jones to move back inside and return to his position as a game wrecker. Is the defense really keeping the Chiefs in games? The Chiefs’ offense still is figuring some things out, but rumors of their demise were greatly exaggerated.  4. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (7-3):  Last year, they didn’t need home-field advantage in the playoffs. This year, they do. Tom Brady saw Justin Herbert run for 90 yards Sunday night and decided to show off his wheels with a 10-yard run against the Giants. That was the most exciting moment of a Monday-nightsnooze fest. The competition jumps up a notch next Sunday with a road matchup against the red-hot Colts. 3. New England Patriots (7-4):  The Pats matched their 2020 win total by Thanksgiving and have found themselves in first place as a result. This team is one the up and up. Physical defense, bruising run game and a polished rookie quarterback who does exactly what is asked of him. Bill Belichick’s Patriots are hitting their stride and there’s no reason they can’t win an AFC filled with flawed contenders. Mac Jones reminds so many of a rookie from 2001. The Pats could end up partying like it’s 2001. Tampa Bay won the battle earlier but Coach Belichick has eyes on the War in February.  2. Green Bay Packers (8-3):  The Packers are dealing with two toe injuries. Their knicker and their quarterback. Aaron Rodgers is hurting with a toe injury but Green Bay just lost star offensive lineman Elgton Jenkins. The Packers desperately need their bye, but first, they have to deal with a Rams team looking to get right. The Packers remain in fine shape, but they'll need to grind their way to the finish line. 1. Arizona Cardinals (9-2):  The Cardinals swept their NFC West road slate by a score of 91-50 and did so with Colt McCoy starting two of those three games. Coach Cool and the Cards are for real. But, they need to avoid having to play a playoff game in Green Bay at all costs. Zona hits a perfectly timed bye week. Murray (ankle) and DeAndre Hopkins (hamstring) now get two more weeks to heal up before a favorable Week 13 matchup against the Bears. McCoy, meanwhile, probably bought himself another three years of lucrative backup work through his performance this month. Good gig.

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NFL Top 10 Rankings - Week #10

Wednesday, Nov 10, 2021

Is anybody any good in this league? Doesn’t seem so.  10.New England Patriots (5-4) This is the one team no one in the AFC will want to see in the postseason. Three wins in a row and the Patriots are once again a threat in the AFC East, but Mac Jones’ continued improvement will determine if they’ll be a Super Bowl factor come January. Highlighting the Pats’ defensive effort against Darnold & the Panthers was CB JC Jackson’s 88-yard pick-six interception in the 24-6 win. Not only was Darnold shutdown, the return of Carolina RB Christian McCaffrey soured as he was held to 52 yards on the ground and four catches by New England’s defense. Hosting the Browns (minus Chubb) this Sunday.  9. Los Angeles Chargers (5-3) They desperately needed a win in Philly, and they definitely need to find a way to keep winning. QB Justin Herbert had three touchdowns on the road against the Eagles after the Bolts lost to the Patriots at home the week prior. Most importantly, Herbert drove his team down the field to setup the game-winning kick… the type of game Chargers fans got used to losing late for a long time. Justin Herbert was 17-of-20 for 205 yards with a TD and rushing TD in the second half of the Chargers’ win over the Eagles. LA didn’t punt all game. When the Bolts are clicking, they are scary. Next up, Minnesota Vikings.  8. Buffalo Bills (5-3) Not long ago, they were dominant. Now, they’re in real danger of losing the division to the Patriots. Buffalo’s offense was non-existent in a stinker against the Jaguars. And just like that, the Patriots are on their heels. The Bills’ reign might be over before it even began if Josh Allen can’t right the ship fast. The Bills had what was likely their worst day on offense since QB Josh Allen’s breakout 2020 year. Bills QB Josh Allen’s ugly games are pretty darn ugly. He’s failed to reach a passer rating of 80 or better in three out of eight games this year. Buffalo fell 9-6 to the Jacksonville Jaguars in a shocker. But there was some good: the Bills’ improved defense is here to stay. Division game with the Jets; but did you see the point spread? -13.5!! 7. Dallas Cowboys (6-2) The Cowboys will be fine, but getting punked at home by a Broncos team that just traded away its best player is inexcusable if you want to be considered a legitimate Super Bowl contender. In a big difference compared to the Bills and Chiefs, the Cowboys’ loss came with nothing good. The defense was smoked early and often and Dallas didn’t close the gap on the scoreboard until this one was over (but QB Dak Prescott coming off an injury wasn’t given time to rest. Huh?). The Cowboys will probably bounce back but this bad loss might cost Dallas their shot at the No. 1 seed.Dallas plays Hotlanta this week.  6. Baltimore Ravens (6-2) The Ravens don’t always make it easy but they find a way to get the job done. Baltimore leads a very competitive AFC North. The Ravens are the comeback kids of the 2021 NFL season. QB Lamar Jackson was the centerpiece of Baltimore’s 34-31 win in overtime vs. the Vikes. The Ravens overcome a double-digit deficit for the third time this season. Sunday was the Ravens' fourth win this season when having a win probability of 15 percent or lower at some point in the second half. Lamar Jackson and the cardiac kids are hard to kill. Ravens get top billing on TNF against Miami.  5. Los Angeles Rams (7-2) After Sunday, the Rams are about to trade a 2029 first-round pick for Jeffery Simmons. In a battle of top-10 heavyweights, the Rams fell short against the Titans, 28-16. With RB Derrick Henry out, Tennessee leaned on their defense and it worked. Rams QB Matthew Stafford has costly giveaways and missteps he’ll have to cleanup. Matthew Stafford’s MVP hype took a hit with the veteran quarterback throwing one real bad interception near their own goal line (shades of Carson Wentz) and another pick to post a 71.0 passer rating in the Rams’ second loss. Missed opportunity for LA to gain ground on the push for the No. 1 seed. They get MNF against rival 49ers.  4. Tennessee Titans (7-2) Tennessee now has five straight wins, with the last four coming over BUF, KC, IND, and LAR. No gimmes in that stretch. OK, fine, the Titans are more than just Derrick Henry. Happy? No King Henry? No problem. That defensive effort was highlighted by the Titans defense forcing two interceptions by Stafford only seconds apart on back-to-back throws. The second of which was taken back for a 24-yard score. The Titans will love if Henry gets back in time for a postseason run, but Tennessee showed they can more than keep their head above water without him. There aren’t many obvious losses left on the schedule. The Saints come marching in looking for an upset.  3. Green Bay Packers (7-2) Aaron Rodgers’ selfishness knocked the Packers out of the top seed in the NFC. Sunday’s loss to the Chiefs with Jordan Love at QB could be the difference between home-field advantage and a bye in the playoffs and a first-round date with the Rams or Cardinals. What a leader. Love struggled in his first-career start which came under weird circumstances. Thanks to QB Aaron Rodgers’ off-field, COVID-19 related distractions all week, the Packers’ loss to the Chiefs was more about that than anything else. The Seahawks are in Green Bay with Wilson back at QB.  2. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (6-2) The Bucs had perhaps the best bye week ever, with plenty of contenders losing. Tom Brady sat at home and watched the Saints, Cowboys, Packers and Rams all lose. That’ll do. This is the time of the year that Tom Brady looks to separate his team from the rest. t Washington Football Team Sunday.  1. Arizona Cardinals (8-1) And speaking of not having your best… Murray, Hopkins and WR AJ Green didn’t play and the depth pieces in Arizona still stood out. QB Colt McCoy and RB James Conner led a 31-17 win over the 49ers in a NFC West win. How are you supposed to not give the Cards your No. 1 spot this week? With Kyler Murray, DeAndre Hopkins, J.J. Watt and A.J. Green in sweatpants, the Cardinals bulldozed the 49ers at Levi’s Stadium. Take a bow, Kliff Kingsbury. Can Carolina pull a fast one this Sunday for the upset?

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The Reason NBA Totals Are Going Under

Thursday, Nov 04, 2021

Give us that Corporate Money! Wilson is believed to be paying between $25 million and $35 million annually for the NBA contract to supply basketballs. Chicago-based Wilson is part of Amer Sports, which was acquired in 2019 by an ownership consortium including ANTA Sports, China’s largest sportswear brand. “Certainly the NBA is extremely cognizant of the importance of China to its long-term growth,” said Jon Bogert, the editor and publisher of Sporting Goods Intelligence, a publication that tracks the industry. “ANTA has a huge retail footprint in China.  Give us that Easy Cash!Why is this news a concern to all NBA sports bettors? There are 30 NBA teams and few are scoring points as in the past few seasons so far. Of the thirty teams, only four are + 2 wins to the over. There are four other teams that are +1 to the over but with juice, the bettors are losing. Betting over the total has only been profitable to four or thirty NBA teams.  How to take Advantage The other 20 teams are all losing if you bet the over. Twelve teams have only gone over the posted total 2 times with eight teams at one or none. Betting the under on these 22 teams has huge positive results to the betting gambler. Betting game to go under the spread is making gamblers a fortune. The Reason Games are Falling Under the TotalAnd there are legitimate reasons. The grooves on these new basketballs are different. The leather is not tanned exactly the same way as Spaulding did for 37 years. The feel of the ball seems different. More teams are shooting three point shots and those shots are 100% about feel. When they don’t feel right coming off your fingers, that’s a disaster. Something that takes time to get used to change whether real or imagined.  Oddsmakers have not Currently Adjusted Lines on TotalsThe oddsmakers are still making lines based on the last two year averages which in long term ends up close to 50/50 by years end. The average owner/under set is around 220. The average final is about 210 thus far. The oddsmakers will start to trend the opening total downward but they are typical slow to change.  As from the Manufacture“The biggest thing is to get the balls broken in and get the players comfortable with the ball, and it’s the first time in 37 years that an NBA team is starting a season with new balls that they have to break in.” Additionally quoted; “So that’s been the one thing that I think everybody recognizes and acknowledges so there are no complaints about the ball, it’s more like, ‘Gosh I got to get it broken in. I got to get it broken in before it feels good.’ From Players and Teams‘The ball feels OK but it needs to get broken in.’ And on the plus side they’re saying things like, it seems to be breaking in quicker than the other guys’ did and stuff like that so some coaches are quoted as saying; “I’m cautiously optimistic and excited.” Lastly, Reminder for the FutureAs the players get used to the feel of the Wilson basketball, there will be a cross point with a rise in scoring and an adjustment to lower opening point spreads by the oddsmakers. Our charts will certainly be zoomed into that data as should yours if you do your on handicapping of NBA totals.   In Closing,We think that this tip and others like it help educate and illustrate that the professional handicappers provide winners and reason why bets win and sports gambling is profitable. 

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Strategic Betting for Maximum Profit

Thursday, Oct 28, 2021

For Information OnlyHaving basic betting principles down is a great way to ensure that you’re not simply throwing your money away. Beyond that, you’ll want to have some skills specifically tailored to the sport you’re betting. Let’s start by saying that betting on NBA basketball offers great profit potential to those who know how to navigate this unique betting landscape.  Learn This Strategy If you cannot do the following, it’s fun to learn how and follow us for more information. One big key to staying profitable in NBA betting is to understand how the lines are made and what they mean. Staying sharp in this area will allow you to find spots where the lines are off and ready to be hammered, and also when to stay away, which is a big skill in keeping a good margin in NBA betting. The more you pay attention to the lines and put yourself in the shoes of the oddsmakers, you’ll immediately start to see those profits.  We Professional NBA Handicapper’sOur ultimate NBA betting strategy guide comes directly from experts who have put their money where their mouths are and have made their livelihood as advantage bettors for years. We’re happy to share our insights and expertise to give you helpful strategies to improve your NBA betting prospects. Whether you’re new to NBA betting or you’re a seasoned gambler looking for a way to sharpen your basketball betting acumen, we’re very confident that you’ll find our tips useful. Our “Must Know” Guide This is broken down into sections to help give you an easier read and help make things easy to find if you ever need to come back and get a refresher on a particular topic. Become a Shark; not a Fish to your bookie.  Player Injury and Rest Updates There are plenty of factors that we take into account before continuing with or eliminating a potential game. There is no worse feeling than playing a betting line you think is way off base, only to realize during the game or after your loss that the line was “juicy” because a star player on the team you bet was out for the contest with an injury or in this new age of betting was being rested. Not only do you feel like a square for losing but you feel regret because you know you could have made a better decision simply by checking out the injury updates. Don’t be lazy or assume everything is set the same for that evening’s game. When news breaks, it takes time for books to adjust the lines. The sharks take advantage of this. The fish miss out or get eaten alive because they didn’t know the facts. Don’t be a fish; BE A SHARK! Money Management  It’s so easy to fall in love with your best play of the day as an amateur after hearing others on Sports-Center recommended it or your mates you talk too also love it. It’s only human nature to want to double or triple your wager. WRONG! I don’t care how much you love a game, it still can lose.  No matter how basic your method may be, having a way to keep an eye on your bankroll will help keep you from going off the rails with huge bets that could cripple you if they miss. After a few “key can’t miss losses” blow up your bankroll, you’ll be more likely to avoid the temptation of showing a total disregard to strong money management principles. A good plan is the best way to stay in the pocket with your betting system and find out what works and what doesn’t over an extended period of time but begin by betting 90% of all bets for the same amount. As an example: if you average bet is $300, do not increase it or decrease it for two week periods. That way, if you win during week one and lose in week two, your money management kept you even. If you win two weeks in a row, increase your units of play and stick with them in weeks 3 and 4. Then continue…. Schedule Tracking The premise is simple; teams don’t perform as well when they’re fatigued as they do when they’re fresh. Much like the injury tracking mentioned above, it’s also good common sense to make sure your betting horse isn’t limping into the arena on tired legs. In the NBA, playing three games in four days or five games in seven days is not uncommon. But what was long held by sharps has now become a legit game changer in the age of data and analytics. We’re sure some big shot at the books played a role as well, but the bottom line is that schedule tracking is a big thing to watch out for now. And it’s so easy to do.  Get A Working CalendarSchedule tracking is looking at a team’s schedule and looking for rough patches in the schedule that would lead the team to be tired or fatigued. Like those stretches mentioned above. The hope is that on these particular games, the betting line fails to reflect this crucial factoid and a team is overvalued, giving great value to a bet against that team. The oddsmakers, (who’s not your friend), loves to set traps to exploit the betting masses This is especially valuable for teams that the betting public likes no matter the case, as books have to keep the lines high to keep their action balanced. Separator Skills A Must! Are You Just Guessing? This is a must to learn to become a successful bettor on your own. Many bettors can’t grasp this so smartly they rely on the seasoned NBA handicapping pro. Learning to think about the bookmaker’s intentions when putting out a line is definitely one of those “separator” skills – by that we mean that it’s one of those defining betting skills that separate the consistently profitable pros from the losing recreational bettors. REMINDER: Become a Shank; not a fish. And it takes your effort. Ask Yourselves Why This Team and At That Point Spread. This is a “game behind the game” tip, but it’s extremely important in NBA betting (just as much as in NFL betting, in our opinion). The principle is to ask a very simple question: why did the book open the line at that number? Expert sharps consider it second nature to ask this question, but most amateurs never even think to. Tip of the Week For Betting NBA It was mentioned before that the oddsmakers are not your friend. I don’t care if you’ve known him for 10 years. PS: I’ll bet he knows who you’re going to bet as soon as his phone rings. And in a nanosecond, he’s changed the number just on your bets in his favor. It’s called “line shading”. Bookmakers capitalize on these common perceptions by putting pick’em games out at Home Team (-1) or (-1.5) to make the public pay a premium on their habit. They’ll also put out Home Team (-1) opening lines even if the home team should open as a 1-point underdog. It’s another way to trap the public. If public perception is that the game is a flip, the bookmakers know they’re going to receive more bets on the home team. As discussed, “line shading” is a term referring to when a bookmaker anticipates heavy betting action on one side of a matchup and moves an opening betting line toward that side. Oddsmakers don’t miss a trick to keep the public confused.  Fade the Public We’re sure you see this a lot; it’s part of almost any expert betting advice on any sport that’s out there. Well, it’s there for good reason! The books are there to make money, and they make money by forcing the public to pay a premium for their popular notions. Learn what is suggested. It’s not that hard. Or follow us and let us do your homework for you. More wisdom here,Confucius Says: To guess is cheap, to guess wrong is very expensive. 

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NFL Week 7: Top 10 Rankings

Thursday, Oct 21, 2021

As we enter into bye weeks:   1. Tampa Bay Buccaneers, 5-1  Tom Brady leads the league in passing, but he'll face a tougher challenge against the Bears' defense Sunday in Tampa. The Bucs have played well from the outset this season after often struggling last season before beginning their championship push in December. The biggest issue now is the depleted secondary, How important is newly signed CB Richard Sherman injury? 2. Arizona Cardinals, 6-0  Could this be there downfall moving forward? The Cards have NFL-high 24 coronavirus cases within organization entering Week 7. Last week; No head coach? No matter. The Cardinals still won Sunday in Cleveland minus Kliff Kingsbury. They remain the league’s only unbeaten team, and there’s no doubting at this point that they are for real. It's a long season -- remember, the Steelers started 11-0 last year -- but there's not much you can criticize the Cardinals for right now. RIGHT?  3. Los Angeles Rams, 5-1 Matthew Stafford was sharp and the Rams were dominant while beating the Giants. The Rams scored 28 points in the second quarter against the Giants. That will work. Former Rams quarterback, Jared Goff is returning home this week. Didn’t he have any WR’s? WR Cooper Kupp appears headed for a career year, leading the league in targets (68) – the only NFL player with at least 10 in every game – receptions (46) and TD grabs (7). 4. Baltimore Ravens, 5-1  Quite a statement by the Ravens, who demolished one of the hottest teams in the league; the Chargers.They overwhelmed the Chargers in Baltimore. Lamar Jackson wasn’t superhuman this time, but he didn’t need to be. Latavius Murray, Le’Veon Bell and Devonta Freeman provided rushing touchdowns on a turn-back-the-clock day for the team’s veteran backs. 5. Dallas Cowboys, 5-1  Could this be Jerry’s year? That game in New England was one the Cowboys used to lose. It wasn't pretty, but they found a way to win. Dallas leads the NFC with 14 takeaways – with at least two in 10 consecutive games for the first time since 1976-77. Coordinator Dan Quinn and Co. are getting it done. The Cowboys had a memorable victory and a three-game lead in the NFC East to savor entering a bye week that provides time for Prescott’s calf injury to heal. Yes! It will be Jerry’s year.  6. Green Bay Packers, 5-1  Aaron Rodgers taunted the fans in Chicago. He could have chosen his words more tactfully, but the “I still own you” sentiments were accurate, given his 22-5 career record against the Bears. Rodgers and the Packers have been fantastic since their opening loss to the Saints. The Packers still don't look like a true Super Bowl contender, but they could get stronger as the season goes along as key players return from injury.  7. Buffalo Bills, 4-2 The Bills looked practically unbeatable during their four-game winning streak. But the Titans showed that, while the Bills are very good, they certainly can be beaten. I didn't hate the decision by Sean McDermott to go for the win on fourth down instead of playing for overtime. The Titans just made a better play. Look how that loss affected Buffalo. The Bills are now projected as the conference's fourth playoff seed through six weeks. 8. Los Angeles Chargers, 4-2  That was a dud of a performance in the lopsided loss Sunday in Baltimore. Just when the Chargers had begun to seem trustworthy, they reverted to being the Chargers. It was a bit of a reality check for the Chargers in Baltimore, but this is a good team that will bounce back. However the opponents game plans are to rush. They're also now the league's worst team defending the run. 9. Kansas City Chiefs, 3-3  They’re not back to being the mighty Chiefs. Not yet. Patrick Mahomes might have thrown the worst interception of his career in Washington, but he also made some big plays to win. They’re still in the basement but least, are back to .500. Tennessee might send to where there are no chance for the playoffs.  10. Tennessee Titans, 4-2  It's probably time to stop sleeping on the Titans. They had a bad loss against the Jets, but still appear to be a very good team. Derrick Henry was terrific Monday night, and the Titans used a late fourth-down stop by their defense to hold off the Bills. But seriously, how did they ever lose to the Jets?———————-These teams want in!!11. New Orleans 12. Cincinnati 13. Cleveland 14. Carolina 15. Minnesota 

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NFL Week 6: Top 10 Teams

Thursday, Oct 14, 2021

1. Buffalo Bills, 4-1 There’s currently a gap between the Bills and everyone else. So it's only right to put the Bills at No. 1 after a convincing win in Kansas City. Josh Allen has the offense humming and this team looks like its the best in the AFC right now. Difficult MNF game this week.  2. Tampa Bay Buccaneers, 4-1 Remember Tom Brady's inexplicable loss on "Thursday Night Football" against the Bears last year? Yeah, he probably does too. However, Brady continues to play ridiculous football for his age and the Bucs' lock in at No. 2  3. Arizona Cardinals, 5-0  The last unbeaten team still has work to do to get to the very top of the list.The Cardinals weren’t great against the 49ers last week…but won. The defense has come around and was flying all over the field against the 49ers and if that's sustained, the Cardinals look like a legitimate threat in the NFC.  4. Los Angeles Rams, 4-1  Are the Rams even the best team in L.A? The gap is getting narrower. The Rams got a little bit of a break with Russell Wilson getting hurt, but anytime you leave Seattle with a win, it's a good thing. They’re a double digit favorite this week.   5. Los Angeles Chargers, 4-1 What a game against the Browns. Justin Herbert is crazy good and the Chargers are for real. They don’t like to punt or kick field goals and get huge smiles at any fourth and whatever. They”ll go for it from anywhere. They need to play a powerhouse team and win both sides of the ball to prove a few things.   6. Dallas Cowboys, 4-1  Putting up 44 on the Giants is good. Maybe not great but more than expected. The Cowboys have been enjoying a soft schedule the last few weeks and they have another game they should win Sunday at New England. Both sides of the ball are in harmony.   7. Baltimore Ravens, 4-1  The Ravens were awfully sleepy early against the Colts, but woke up in a big way. The Ravens discovered their passing game, by necessity. That could take the offense, and the team, to new heights. Lamar Jackson had an all-time performance.  8. Cleveland Browns, 3-2 They could be 5-0. After Sunday, they actually could be 3-3. The Browns tried to out score the Chargers and forgot about playing any kind of defense. They'll face a tough test this week against The Gunslinger from Arizona.   9. Green Bay Packers, 4-1  Their all-star kicker had three misses before getting lucky to even get another opportunity from the Bengals. It certainly wasn't pretty, but the Packers survived in Cincinnati. They can seize control of the NFC North with a win at Soldier Field Sunday.  10. Kansas City Chiefs, 2-3  The Chiefs are still very talented, but they seem stuck in the classic Super Bowl hangover. The good news is they have Patrick Mahomes and can probably get out of it. After Mahomes big payday, does KC have any money left for defense? Who would have predicted they’d be under .500 after five weeks.   —————— They’re coming after you!! 11. Cincinnati 12. Tennessee  13. New Orleans  14. Seattle  15. Denver

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NFL Top 10 (at Week 5)

Thursday, Oct 07, 2021

1. CARDINALS;  4-0 The Cardinals stayed undefeated with a statement victory over the Rams on Sunday. They'll look to keep it going when they host the 49ers next Sunday. Kyler Murray the one of the leading MVP candidates heading into Week 5, or at least in the conversation. 2. BUCCANEERS; 3-1 It didn't come as easy as many expected, but Tom Brady and the Buccaneers edged out the Patriots to give the 44-year-old QB a win vs. all 32 NFL teams in his illustrious career. They showed they can win games, even if Tom Brady isn't on top of his game. 3. BILLS; 3-1 It's safe to say Buffalo is all the way back after its puzzling Week 1 loss to the Steelers. The Bills cruised to a 40-0 victory over the Texans on Sunday and will look to stay hot when they visit the Chiefs next Sunday night. The Kansas City game will be a proving ground for the Bills. If they win, they show the league they are the class of the AFC. 4. PACKERS; 3-1After that awful showing in Week 1, they have turned their season around quickly. At 3-1, they have a nice hold of the division after the first month. The Packers earned their third straight win Sunday as they cruised to a 27-17 win over the Steelers. Aaron Rodgers tossed two touchdown passes and rushed for another as he continues to prove that Week 1 dud was a fluke. How many realize that Rodgers is 30,000 passing yards short of Tom Brady?  5. BROWNS; 3-1 It wasn't pretty at Minnesota, but they found a way. That's the sign of a good team. They just keep fighting -- even on bad days. The Browns offense was painful to watch Sunday vs. Minnesota, but a win is a win... right? Cleveland will need a sharper Baker Mayfield and more than 14 points when it visits the Chargers next week. 6. RAMS; 3-1 They put so much into the Tampa Bay game, so there had to be a letdown against the Cardinals. But to that degree? The Rams' dominant run vs. the Cardinals ended Sunday evening as L.A. was outclassed, 37-20. It won't get any easier Thursday night vs. Seattle. Or will it? 7. CHARGERS; 3-1 They beat up on the Raiders Monday night. If the defense plays like that, they will be a real threat in the AFC. Justin Herbert has seven touchdowns and zero interceptions in his last two games, while Austin Ekeler racked up 117 rushing yards Monday night in a win over the undefeated Raiders. So far so good for Brandon Staley's club. 8. COWBOYS; 3-1 After losing their opener on the road, they have really come on strong. The biggest surprise is how well the defense is playing for coordinator Dan Quinn. The Cowboys handed the Panthers their first loss of the season with a four-TD performance from Dak Prescott and a 143-yard, one TD day for Ezekiel Elliott. Trevon Diggs was the star for Dallas with two interceptions, bringing his total on the season to a league-leading five INTs. 9. CHIEFS; 2-2 That offense we saw in Philadelphia is what we expect to see. But the defense still has major issues and now here comes the Bills for a real test. The Chiefs earned a much-needed win over the Eagles on Sunday to bounce back from their two consecutive losses. Philadelphia had no answer for Tyreek Hill, who totaled 11 catches for 186 yards and three TDs. However, they remain in the basement of the AFC West. 10. RAVENS; 3-1 The Ravens made up for nearly losing to the Lions last week by taking down the previously undefeated Broncos, 23-7. That was an impressive road victory against the Broncos. The defense had its best game of the season, which is a good sign. Next, they'll face off against the Colts on Monday NightFootball. —————- Looking to make the Top 10  11. LV Raiders 12. Carolina 13. Seattle  14. Cincinnati  14. Denver

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NFL Top 10 (Week 4)

Thursday, Sep 30, 2021

10. Green Bay Packers (2-1)Aaron Rodgers and the Packers appear to be back on track after a clutch win over the San Francisco 49ers on Sunday Night Football. Justin Tucker rightfully stole all of the headlines with his kick for the Ravens, but Mason Crosby was the hero for Green Bay with a 51-yard field goal as time expired. Good game this Sunday against a refocused Steelers team. I remember Pittsburgh at Buffalo in their first game. 9. Los Angeles Chargers (2-1)Justin Herbert and the Chargers pulled off a huge victory over Patrick Mahomes and the Kansas City Chiefs at Arrowhead Stadium, 30-24. Herbert outdueled Mahomes with four TD passes in the win. Two of them were caught by Mike Williams, who finished with a team-high seven catches and 122 yards. Their biggest game of the year this week on MNF against the Raiders. 8. Arizona Cardinals (3-0)Arizona sure made things interesting as it entered halftime trailing Jacksonville by five, but Kyler Murray and Co. woke up in the second half to pull off a 31-19 win. Chase Edmonds has been the more efficient back for the Cardinals by about a yard per attempt, yet James Conner is still getting a more significant workload. The good news is Arizona can throw to what seems like 10 different receivers.A tough matchup vs. the Los Angeles Rams awaits. 7. Buffalo Bills (2-1)Josh Allen torched Washington's defense for four touchdowns through the air and one via the ground in a 43-21 win. Buffalo will look to carry its momentum into what should be an easy matchup vs. Houston. They played one bad game against Pittsburgh, and the narrative flipped on both teams for a week. Well, that’s over — and Buffalo has looked dominant the past two weeks.Their defense swarms, pairing a great back end with athletic linebackers and a pass rush that can finally hold its own. Practice game laying 17 this week vs Houston. 6. Cleveland Browns (2-1)Cleveland didn’t have a great day offensively. Regardless, the offense as a whole can win through the air and on the ground, making them a versatile weapon moving forward in the AFC. The Browns defense wreaked havoc on Justin Fields and the Bears on Sunday, sacking the rookie QB nine times. Myles Garrett was responsible for 4.5 of those sacks. The dominant effort resulted in a 26-6 win for Cleveland. Browns better play hard for 60 minutes this week in Minnesota. 5. Las Vegas Raiders (3-0)The Raiders held on to take down the Dolphins in an overtime thriller and keep their undefeated season going. It's the first time in 19 years they've started a season 3-0. Derek Carr is the best quarterback in the league in four-minute situations at the end of games. Indeed, he’s arguably the most clutch player in the league. And now, it seems his weapons finally fit him. Darren Waller is a stud, Henry Ruggs appears improved, and if Hunter Renfrow isn’t the best pure slot in the league, he’s close. The Raiders don’t make a whole lot of sense so far, but it’s difficult to argue they don’t belong this high in the NFL Power Rankings. Their center was certainly a problem last game. An anomaly? Next up is a trip to L.A., where they'll take on a Chargers team coming off a big win in Kansas City.4. Kansas City Chiefs (1-2) Being called “Basement Dwellers” should inspire the Chiefs this week. The Chiefs find themselves at the bottom of the AFC West following a 30-24 home loss to the Chargers. Don't expect that to last, but it's clear Kansas City has plenty to fix heading into its Week 4 meeting with the Eagles. Kansas City’s offense is good enough to win a boatload of football games. The defense, however, appears to be bad enough for the offense not to make a difference. They’ve now allowed 29, 36, and 30 points over the first three weeks of the season. Additionally, the Chiefs are giving up nearly 2 yards more per play than the NFL average. 3. Baltimore Ravens (2-1) Lamar Jackson is still playing an incredibly carefree style of football in the pocket, and it nearly cost the Ravens on Sunday. However, you can’t just look at traditional stats to explain his performance as a passer. Yes, Jackson only completed 51.6% of his passes against the Lions. But that’s not important given he averaged nearly 20 — yes, 20 — air yards per attempt. The Ravens followed up their dramatic win over the Chiefs with one of the craziest wins you'll ever see vs. Detroit. Justin Tucker cemented his status as the best kicker of all time with a record 66-yard field goal as time expired, sealing a 19-17 victory. He might kick one of 70 yards this week in the thin air of Denver. 2. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (2-1)This is still a dominant football team, but they ran into an absolute buzzsaw in the Los Angeles Rams in Week 3. The Buccaneers probably weren’t going undefeated in 2021. So far, they’re hovering around the top 10 in offensive and defensive efficiency. They aren’t running the ball well, but they also aren’t allowing anything on the ground. The defending champions were beat pretty handily by the Los Angeles Rams. Tom Brady will look to bounce back when he returns home to Foxboro next Sunday night. It’ll be a game that both teams really want to win it for their coach or for their quarterback.  1. Los Angeles Rams (3-0)The Matthew Stafford trade is looking better and better each week. The former Lions signal-caller threw for 343 yards and four touchdowns in Sunday's 34-24 win over the Bucs. His connection with Cooper Kupp has been incredible as the Rams wideout added another two TDs to his total.Stafford looks like an MVP candidate.Los Angeles hasn’t run the ball well yet in 2021, but they’ve dominated through the air. They’re posting 3+ yards more per pass attempt than the NFL average, and they’re averaging a first down every time Stafford drops back to pass. L.A. steals the top spot in our rankings as it prepares for a Week 4 meeting with the Cardinals.—————Teams looking ahead to the Top 1011. Dallas Cowboys 12.Denver Broncos 13. Carolina Panthers14. San Francisco 49ers15. Tennessee Titans 

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Why Are The Dogs Barking So Loudly in College Football?

Wednesday, Sep 29, 2021

Underdogs covered big spreads in the past few week against the Top 25 teams and here’s some reasons to consider.   A NEW ERA IN BETTING HIGH SPREADS?With last season Covid disruption among teams and players, many of the unranked teams have benefited with the new rules.  The top 85 teams on average, have 17 returning starters. That is huge for the lesser teams. Additionally, with the transfer protocol, some starters from top teams have transferred to other teams to get more playing time because of a more abundance of starters returning on their own team.  This has lead to a huge improvement and impact of some of the poorer teams. This has resulted to more underdogs covering the spread this early in the season until the oddsmakers catch up with fresh ratings.  These are the games that were affected somewhat by this new phenomena from week 4.  TOP 25 TEAMS UNLV + 30 lost by 8 to FresnoVillanova +30 lost by 21 to Penn StNC State + 10 won outright, Clemson Colo St +24 lost by 10 to IowaRutgers +21 lost by 7 to Michigan Arkansas +5 won outright, TexasBaylor +7 won outright, Iowa StGeorgia St + 28 lost by 10 to Auburn Georgia Tech + 14 won outright, N CarWest Vir + 17 lost by 3 to Oklahoma So Flor + 24 lost by 8 to BYU This Upcoming Saturday It’s doubtful that this way of handicapping and betting underdogs will change anytime soon. Be sure to check back this Saturday to see how our response will be against the Oddsmakers. 

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NFL Week 3: Top 10 Teams

Wednesday, Sep 22, 2021

10. Seattle Seahawks (1-1): The Seahawks are never not going to Seahawks. Disappointing that they couldn’t close it out after having a 14-point lead at home early in the fourth quarter. The Seahawks squandered a 24-9 lead to a Titans team that is allergic to covering wide receivers past 10 yards. That’s a loss that could haunt Seattle two months from now. That was a brutal home loss to the Titans as the defense just fell apart in the second half.  9. Denver Broncos (2-0): Playing the Jags is basically a free win for a lot of teams. Through two games, Teddy Bridgewater is 54-for-70 for 592 yards, four touchdowns and no interceptions, and the Broncos are 2-0. That’s why Steady Teddy is under center and Drew Lock is holding a clipboard. Teddy Bridgewater has played well in winning two on the road. They now get the Jets at home in a game they should win to get to 3-0.  8. Baltimore Ravens (1-1): The Ravens hung tough and John Harbaugh’s aggressiveness gave his team an edge to squeak out a very big victory. Jackson finally got the “can’t beat Mahomes” monkey off his back. Well done. Lamar Jackson rebounded after a disastrous start and finally got that win against Patrick Mahomes. Jackson and the Ravens’ running game bulldozed the Chiefs’ defense to keep them from falling into an 0-2 hole. Don’t complain if Jackson and Mahomes meet again in January. That was an impressive victory over the Chiefs, a team that had their number in recent years. The offense looked great, but the defense needs to be better.  7. Cleveland Browns (1-1): Baker Mayfield failed to complete just two of his 21 attempts in Week 2. One was a pick, which caused him to unwisely put his body at risk. Will be worth monitoring if his shoulder injury impacts him moving forward. Baker Mayfield is 40-fo-49 so far on the season. If it walks like a franchise QB and talks like a franchise QB, it’s probably a franchise QB. They found a way against the Texans, but it was clunky at times. They were in a close game until Tyrod Taylor went out. Losing Jarvis Landry for a bit will hurt the offense.  6. Arizona Cardinals (2-0): Kyler Murray is balling out right now. He’s helped the Cards reach 72 points in two games, which ranks only behind the Bucs. Murray is in the MVP conversation early on. Kyler Murray (400 passing yards, four total touchdowns) is an early-season MVP candidate. They are 2-0, but they looked bad on defense in beating Minnesota. The offense bailed them out in a big way. Along with a missed field goal.   5. Las Vegas Raiders (2-0): Beating Baltimore at home before going to get a two-possession win in Pittsburgh is pretty legit. With Miami up next, the Raiders have a real chance to make it three wins in a row to open up the season. Derek Carr and Jon Gruden are firing on all cylinders, and Gus Bradley’s defense has looked competent through two weeks. It’s the first time the Raiders have opened 2-0 with wins over teams that were playoff teams in the previous season during the Super Bowl era. Hard to imagine a better start for the Silver and Black.  At 2-0, they are one of the surprise teams of the NFL. Derek Carr for MVP? He's off to a fast start.  4. San Francisco 49ers (2-0): The 49ers are 2-0 but they didn’t look overly impressive in their Week 2 win over the Eagles. Jimmy Garoppolo left a lot of plays on the field and Philly suffered from self-inflicted wounds. It’s going to be time to go to Trey Lance at some point. Through two weeks, the 49ers have played 2.5 good quarters against a bad Lions team and have otherwise looked mediocre at best. Still, they head back to the Bay at 2-0 and have a lot of room for growth. But the improvement has to come quick with the Packers and Seahawks on deck. The defense did some good things, but it will be really challenged this week against the Packers.  3. Kansas City Chiefs (1-1): The Chiefs only lost by one point and they had a chance to win it at the end before a fumble cost them. They’ll be fine since they have Patrick Mahomes but the defense is an issue with 65 points allowed. Only four teams have surrendered more. Patrick Mahomes finally threw an interception and lost a game in September. So, he can bleed. The Chiefs’ defense has some real issues, especially in the red zone, that can plague them in postseason. The defense has to be better than what it showed against the Ravens in the second half. Even Patrick Mahomes can't rescue them from that all the time. Now they get Justin Herbert this week.  2. Los Angeles Rams (2-0): So far, so good with Stafford ranking third in the league in passer rating at 127.0. The clear second team in the NFC behind the Bucs. The Rams have taken care of Andy Dalton and Carson Wentz to open the season. Want to prove you’re for real? Here comes Tom Brady and the Bucs in Week 3. They are 2-0 after beating the Colts on the road, but now face a huge home game with the Bucs. This will be the first major test for Matt Stafford as quarterback of the Rams.  1. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (2-0): With nine touchdowns through his first two games, more records are not impossible. His 113.3 passer rating is currently only behind his career high of 117.2 from 2007. Gronk catch. Gronk score. Gronk spike. Gronk party with Tom. Tale as old as time. Gronk was asked about watching game film and he said; “I have Brady watch it for me and then he tells me who to block”. Tom Brady is on pace for 76 touchdown passes, an outrageous number that he won't sniff. The Tampa Bay offense is special right now. Great game this week against the LA Rams.  —————-Teams knocking at the Top 10 door.  11. Dallas Cowboys 12. Los Angeles Chargers 13. Buffalo Bills14. Pittsburgh Steelers 15. Tennessee Titans

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An NFL Review On All 32 Teams After Week One

Thursday, Sep 16, 2021

32. Jacksonville Jaguars (0-1): Urban Meyer is 0-1 in the NFL. He almost certainly will lose more games this season than he did in his career at Ohio State (nine). Going back to play at home, he needs to stop in New Orleans and ask Sean Peyton how to win in Jacksonville stadium. Forget those college days...THIS IS THE NFL 31. Detroit Lions (0-1): The Lions were down 38-10 but kept fighting back. They actually could have won the game with under 20 seconds of play.  It was not a moral victory for Dan Campbell as he fell a half point short of covering the spread for any faithful betting on the Lions. They will be a double digit dog so if you winning, you might be forced to bet on this loser. 30. New York Jets (0-1): Sam Darnold probably is  reliving nightmares watching Zach Wilson run for his life behind the Jets’ atrocious offensive line Sunday. He had six sacks and 14 pressures. Sam's best advice to Zach, get out of New York. Wilson ended up going 20 of 37 for 258 yards and two touchdowns while throwing one interception. 29. Houston Texans (1-0): Well this is one team that can't go winless. Give David Culley and the Texans a ton of credit. Everyone expects them to be horrible...and they won't disappoint. Who would have thought at any time this season, they would lead the AFC South? Lovie Smith's defense did their job. moving forward, their defense will cover huge point spreads. 28. New York Giants (0-1): Jason Garrett should have been the only one running laps after his play calling as offensive coordinator. They put up an underachieving 13 points. But on the other side of the coin there is no pass rush which leads to those nasty demoralizing third down completions for their opponents.  27. Atlanta Falcons (0-1): Arthur Smith’s offense lost a lot of its hope Sunday. Their penalties (99) were almost as much as their rushing yardage (124). And you would have figured for a ton of passing yards (136) but NOT! In the final three quarters, they rushed for 38 yards. I would say it can't get any worse but I checked their schedule for Sunday...Hello Tampa Bay.  26. Carolina Panthers (1-0): The Panthers scored only one touchdown inside of the Jets 10 yard line on four different occasions. To remind him of last year with the Jets, Sam Darnold was hit eight times. Where was Christian McCafferty inside the 10 yard line? This may be the most average team in the NFL. They can beat 9 teams that are on the bottom and lose to 8 teams that are better. Very pedestrian.   25. Chicago Bears (0-1): I don't think that Sunday's result came unexpectedly. However, their defense was not to have broken coverages resulting in tons of passing yardage.Their only chance at a quick fix is their defense; not Justin Fields. Offensively, their second-round pick, Teven Jenkins is out after back surgery, and his replacement left the game with a quad injury and his replacement left with an ankle injury during the Rams game. So they have their right tackle playing on the all important left side.  24. Minnesota Vikings (0-1): Viking coaches and fans are not brimming with confidence after a season-opening loss to the Bengals. The offensive line was responsible for 70 yards of the teams total 116 in penalties. Cousins seems to look around at which teammate will be flagged for holding or jumping offsides instead of focusing on audibles and passing. How jumpy will the Vikings offensive line be this week in Arizona against a five sacks last week Chandler Jones? 23. Tennessee Titans (0-1): The Titans didn’t do anything right in their 38-13 drubbing. It was expected after having only one week of full practice. They will certainly NOT be judged by what the Cardinals did to them. Additionally, this shows all the strength of the Cardinals defensive front four. Derrick Henry was hit at or behind the line eight times resulting in a net loss of 3 yards over the first three quarters. They were behind 24-6 at halftime after Henry rushed for 8 yards in the half.  22. Indianapolis Colts (0-1): Carson Wentz was the least of the Colts’ problems in their loss to the Seahawks. Frank Reich has some issues to solve on his offensive line. Wentz was sacked, hit or scrambling to the tune of 3 sacks and 10 quarterback hits. The Colts defense was a joke in the first half but finally got things together in the second half. They forced four punts, a turnover and sacked Wilson 4 times. Oh well, Wentz can look forward to next week. Oh wait, it's the Rams and Aaron Darnold.  21. Cincinnati Bengals (1-0): The Tiger King is back. When the Bengals needed him most, Joe Burrow stepped up and made a franchise QB-esque throw on fourth-and-1 from midfield, hitting C.J. Uzomah for 32 yards to set up the game-winning field goal in OT. Moving forward, when Burrow is on the field, they have a chance of winning.  20. Washington Football Team (0-1): Buy all the Taylor Heinicke stock you can. The Football Team rallied after losing Ryan Fitzpatrick to an injury. Washington has two things going for them. A great offensive line and one of the best defenses in the NFL  Yes, they had some defensive miscues but Chargers QB Justin Herbert can make any defense look helpless.  19. Denver Broncos (1-0): The Broncos’ defense is for real. Teddy Bridgewater was 26 of 34 passing for 248 yards and two touchdowns.He took care of the ball (no turnovers) and made plays on third down. That’s all Vic Fangio believes he needs to win games. Except for their defense that completely stifled the Giants. NOTE: The offense completed many third and long for 1st downs but don't expect them to do that against better defenses.  18. Philadelphia Eagles (1-0): The Eagles put on an offensive show. Quarterback Jalen Hurts was 27 of 35 for 264 yards with three touchdowns. Their rookies each had a score and Miles Sanders had 113 total yards. They better enjoy this as the next five games are tattooed on their brains as losses. Niners, Cowboys, Chiefs, Panthers, and Bucs. They might go 1-4. At least it was a nice road win. 17. New England Patriots (0-1): Mac Jones is pro-ready. He threw in rhythm, out of empty formations, with good accuracy and decision making. Bill Belichick kept the game plan conservative but fumbles by Damien Harris and Rhamondre Stevenson were the difference in a loss to the Dolphins. Jones passed for 133 yards in the first half. Jones and the offense will get better as Josh McDaniels opens up the playbook as the season goes on. But the mainstay is that Belichick's defense will win more games than the offense. It's a great combination moving on.  16. Miami Dolphins (1-0): One can't buy into the Dolphins offense to carry the team. The Dolphins’ defense looked elite in holding the Patriots to 16 points, and rookie wide receiver Jaylen Waddle impressed in his debut. Tua Tagovailoa, the former Alabama signal-caller, went 16-for-27 for 202 yards one touchdown and one interception while adding a rushing score. He has to continue to improve for Miami to be considered a legitimate AFC contender. Like many teams, their games will be won or lost depending on offensive line protection.  15. Baltimore Ravens (0-1): With an 80-0 record after leading by 14 points during a game, the Ravens were unable to get out of their own way Monday night in Las Vegas. Baltimore has a lot of issues to clean up if it wants to be considered a Super Bowl contender. But first, Jackson needs two key starters to return. This is not a "one man" league that can carry a team. Losing Marcus Peters Monday was a huge blow. Carr passed for over 400 yards including 308 in the second half. Baltimore better find Peters replacement fast; Mahomes is coming to Baltimore next.  14. Las Vegas Raiders (1-0): The Raiders did everything they could to lose their first true Las Vegas home game. But Lamar Jackson gave them a gift with an overtime fumble, and Derek Carr hit Zay Jones to set off a week-long party in Sin City. Chucky! Shots! What can we expect in their next game? A short week after the MNF game, partying Monday night and celebrating Tuesday. Traveling 3000 miles to play a very good Pittsburgh Steelers team with the line under 6 points. And the all too familiar letdown and regression. 13. Green Bay Packers (0-1): What the hell was that? After all the offseason drama, Aaron Rodgers posted one of his worst games in a long time, going 15-for-28 for 133 yards and two interceptions. The passer rating when a QB hikes the ball and throws it into the dirt on every play is 39.6. Aaron Rodgers passer rating for Week One was 32.8. Perhaps he spent too much time auditioning for “Jeopardy” in the offseason. They might not win Sunday but you can bet the ball from both sides will be airborne.  12. Buffalo Bills (0-1): This was an early reality check as the Steelers and Big Ben’s corpse went into Orchard Park and stunned the preseason AFC darlings. Josh Allen isn’t going to catch anyone by surprise this season. But what about the Bills' "stop" defense? They allowed the Steelers to have three drives of nine-plus plays in the second half. Josh Allen for some unknown reason could not connect with Stefon Diggs or Cole Beasley. They were all out of sorts as the O-line was called for six holding penalties. Being outscored 23-3 in the second half at home is simply an anomaly...at this time. 11. Cleveland Browns (0-1): The Browns are still the Browns. For three quarters, the Browns controlled the game against the Chiefs. Then, everything flipped as the Chiefs scored two touchdowns in three minutes.One moment, you’re feeling good. Your game plan’s working. The next, the best player in football is pressured right and chucks a bomb to Tyreek Hill across his body for a touchdown. And Hill gives you the peace sign. A loss is a loss, but the Browns showed they have what it takes to hang with the AFC favorites. But the gap between contender and champion is the hardest to traverse.  10. Dallas Cowboys (0-1): How bout dem Cowboys? Does anyone still think Dak Prescott isn’t elite? Anyone? Buehler? Chalk up 403 yards for him. The biggest problem in the first game was not Greg Zuerlein but Ezekiel Elliott with his total of 33 yards on 11 carries. Zuerlein did not kick over the summer due to his back surgery and only once in preseason but there's no excuse for Zeke. Scoring 29 points was a good showing against the Super Bowl Champs. NOTE to all coaches: Do NOT think you can stop Tom Brady in the final 1:30 minutes.  9. Pittsburgh Steelers (1-0): The Steelers defense is legit. TJ Watt is a beast. However, it’s YUK on offense. Pittsburgh had only 252 yards of total offense, were four of 12 on third down, gained only 13 first downs outside of penalties and won by a touchdown. Their offensive line will haunt the 39 year old man still trying to be relevant. They opened no holes for rookie first round pick Najee Harris who ended up with 1.1 yards per carry. Big Ben will get sacked and throw INT's if something doesn't change. 8. Arizona Cardinals (1-0): When Kyler Murray is healthy, he is one of the most dynamic quarterbacks in football as he shredded the Titans for five total touchdowns. Their defense was led by Chandler Jones' five sacks and held Derrick Henry to only 33 yards rushing. Having JJ Watt on defense certainly has to give D coordinators nightmares. Having Kyler, JJ and Chandler along with DeAndre Hopkins and Christian Kirk offer plenty of expectations from both sides of the ball. The NFC West is going to be a bloodbath with Murray, Stafford, Wilson and Jimmy G all at QB. 7. New Orleans Saints (1-0): As a fan of Jameis Winston who threw five touchdown passes in the win, for week one, many are happy for him after not playing for the entire last season and learning how to become a quarterback. The game ball should go to Sean Payton who dealt with Brees retirement, 10 new starters because of injuries, a suspension and salary cap issues, a relocation to Dallas to practice and a home game relocation to Jacksonville due to hurricane Ida. And a new starting quarterback. Their biggest immediate problem due to injuries is their depth.  6. Los Angeles Chargers (1-0): On Sunday, new head coach Brandon Staley let Justin Herbert do what he does: 31 of 47 for 337 yards passing. They did have two red zone turnovers however but still manage a win over an elite Washington defense on the road. With Joey Bosa and the defense playing focused, and allowing a more aggressive offense late in the game, the Chargers are well represented in the 4-0 NFC West.  5. San Francisco 49ers (1-0): Is a win a win when you nearly give up a 28 point lead to the Lions. With under a minute, the Lions had a chance to win outright. That's scary close. Coach Kyle Shanahan has plenty of plans for rookie Trey Lance in the weeks ahead. It's difficult for opposing defensive coordinators to game plan for two QB’s. The 49ers suffered two key injuries so pay close attention to upcoming reports.  4. Seattle Seahawks (1-0): Russell Wilson seemed to like what new offensive coordinator Shane Waldron put in the season opener game plan against the Lions. Wilson went 18-for-23 for 254 yards and four touchdowns in a win over the Colts scoring on three of the first four possessions. Their defense had a great game in the Colts backfield with three sacks and 10 QB hits. At least, Wilson won't have to win with his legs and arm with a defense like that.  3. Los Angeles Rams (1-0): Three plays into his Rams career, Stafford showed why McVay wanted him. He faked a handoff and bootlegged out to the left before stopping and hitting Van Jefferson for a 67-yard touchdown that was aided by some putrid Bears tackling. Still, it’s a throw Jared Goff can’t make. A big key was the opening second half 56 yard touchdown pass to Cooper Kupp extinguishing any hope for the Bears. The Rams needed a running back as they managed only18 yards through three quarters of play. All yardage stats came burning up the clock in the 4th quarter. Who will replace running back Cam Akers is the only question? If they locate his replacement, there will be fireworks in Inglewood this year at the Super Bowl.  2. Kansas City Chiefs (1-0): What's there to say? Coach Andy Reid and Patrick Mahomes are inevitable and unstoppable. The only negative after giving up the world to pay Mahomes is that Travis Kelce and Tyreek Hill must remain injury free. Forget about having an average defense, they don't seem too concerned as they figure to score 40 points a game.  1. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (1-0): You’re going to give Tom Brady 80 seconds to get a field goal? That’s a mistake. Brady’s arm looked as crisp as ever in the season opener. The Bucs defense didn't come as advertised. Dak had over 400 yards of passing. They were very fortunate to win, having four turnovers. If one were to grade them from their 2020 game one to this year's game one, they are miles ahead this year. Is there another ring waiting? 

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WOW!! What an Opening Week.

Thursday, Sep 09, 2021

Recapping the Top 25 losses.  Some of the top programs in the country struggled out of the gates and dropped their 2021 openers. It’s all uphill for them now. We could spot a few scores being run up this weekend.  Eight Top 25 teams lost in Week 1:All the prep work went down.  No. 3 ClemsonNo. 10 UNCNo. 12 WisconsinNo. 14 MiamiNo. 16 LSUNo. 17 IndianaNo. 20 WashingtonNo. 23 Louisiana The first top program to fall came on Friday night when No. 10 UNC lost on the road against ACC foe Virginia Tech. Heisman candidate Sam Howell struggled in Blacksburg and threw three interceptions, which prevented the Tar Heels from pulling off a fourth quarter comeback. Note that Blacksburg is a difficult venue to open the season.  North Carolina wasn’t the only top 25 ACC team to go down over the weekend. In Saturday’s headliners, No. 14 Miami lost badly to No. 1 Alabama while No. 3 Clemson fell in a defensive battle to No. 5 Georgia. A pick-six proved to be the difference, and the only touchdown, in the Tigers-Bulldogs match-up. With Clemson, Miami and North Carolina all losing, that conference is toast.  No. 12 Wisconsin also lost a low-scoring, defensive struggle to No. 19 Penn State on Saturday afternoon. Penn St played to a 0-0 halftime tie and only went 3-13 on third downs. In the other Big Ten match-up between ranked teams, No. 18 Iowa blew out No. 17 Indiana, 34-6. But it was a deceptive blowout.  Ed Orgeron and the No. 16 LSU Tigers ran into an impressive UCLA ground game and lost at the Rose Bowl, 38-27. The No. 23 Louisiana Ragin’ Cajuns also struggled to keep pace with a talented Texas offense and fell by multiple scores. It’ll be interesting to see if UCLA is for real. They are on their bye week.  Finally, in the upset of the weekend, FCS program Montana held off No. 20 Washington, 13-7. Freshman quarterback Dylan Morris threw three interceptions which sank the Huskies chances at walking away with a win in their season opener. I believe the PAC 12 North went 1-5. Throw in losses by Cal and Stanford, this conference has to be embarrassed. 

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Breaking Down a Game From Previous Weekend.

Wednesday, Sep 08, 2021

Last week Indiana played Iowa. We had the Hawkeyes winning in a blowout. Our question is not if that was a great pick but is Iowa everything we might think they are after crushing Indiana 34-6.As a reminder, Indiana came into this contest ranked #17 while Iowa clocked in at #18. Because of home field, the oddsmakers made Iowa a -3.5 to -4 home favorite. Here’s the question: Did something happen in this utter destruction of Iowa over Indiana to count on moving forward? Especially to week 2 when Iowa face Iowa St. The Hawkeyes scored twice in the first 2:15 of the contest off a 56-yard touchdown run from Tyler Goodson and a 30-yard interception return from Riley Moss to put them up 14-0 almost instantly. Iowa found the end zone twice more in the second quarter, too, and took a 31-3 lead at the break.  This seems like bad breaks in the very first two minutes completely dictated the outcome. Let’s look into their basic numbers of the game.  1. Iowa had just 18 first downs.  2. Iowa made but 4 of 12 third down conversions.  3. Iowa only passed for 145 yards4. Iowa had a total of 158 rushing yards but 56 yards were when the game was 1.5 minutes old. (102later)5. Then the clincher was 50 seconds later, Iowa completed the pik-6 to go up 14-0; game over. Lastly, they were sacked twice and fumbled two times. They managed to score just 3 points in the second half. As a result, this is where it gets tricky. Week 2 has Iowa moving up 8 spots in the Top 25 going from #18 to #10. The entire team, players, fans and students get to strut around all week as a Top 10 team. They hit the road this week as a + 6.5 underdog at Iowa St; their bitter rival. This is the widest spread in over 17 years. To me, it looks like an oddsmakers trap. They are offering Iowa PLUS SIX AND A HALF POINTS and it will become the most public bet this Saturday as of now. My point is to NOT blindly jump on a team based on #18 defeating #17 the prior week. If you can’t check the stats of the previous game, then that’s why you have sports handicapping professionals do it for you. As of this writing, I have only offered my Tuesday thoughts. Come back later in the week for any play I may make on this games and others exactly like it. Good Luck to your football betting season.

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