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NFL Week 12: Top 10-Ranked Teams

by Wayne Root

Wednesday, Nov 24, 2021

10. Indianapolis Colts (6-5): After surviving a 1-4 start, the Colts look like one of the most dangerous teams in the unpredictable AFC. But why can’t Jonathan Taylor win MVP? The Colts are 6-0 in games in which he rushed for over 100 yards. This dome team is built for the elements, which will serve them well if they get to the postseason. Bold prediction: Indy wins the AFC South.  9. Baltimore Ravens (7-3):  Lamar Jackson’s illnesses are making Ravens fans a little queasy. Ten games in, the Ravens are a 5-5 masquerading as a 7-3 outfit. But the bill is about to come due. Damn, they’re even making me queasy. The Ravens are getting by on guts right now: Marquise Brown joined Jackson as an inactive on Sunday, while 15 players are parked on injured reserve. Survive and advance. 8. Tennessee Titans (8-3):  Go figure. The Titans are the epitome of this upside-down season, winning seven games against 2020 playoff teams while also losing to the Jets and Texans. No Derrick Henry, no Julio Jones and now A.J. Brown is banged up. The Titans’ offense needs someone to save it, but Ryan Tannehill isn’t up to the task. Tennessee has shown no hints of mounting a sustainable offense since Henry went on the shelf after foot surgery three weeks ago. This all feels like terrible timing for a game against the red-hot Patriots, but Mike Vrabel's Titans have a habit of overcoming the odds.  7. Los Angeles Rams (7-3): If the Rams are the type of team that gains motivation from the doubts of others, well, last week's bye might have been a very productive week. The Greatest Show-offs on Turf need to show something at Lambeau this week or else. The Rams can tweet about going all-in-all they want. But it’s time they show they are more than just empty expectations and a roster assembled on Madden. QB Matthew Stafford heads back to Lambeau Field, where he’s 3-7 all time.  6. Dallas Cowboys (7-3):  An excellent performance by the defense should have put the team in position to make a huge statement at Arrowhead. Instead, Dallas shrunk in the spotlight, fueling speculation we're watching another Cowboys team that's more sizzle than steak. Don’t look now, but here come the Eagles. But for that to matter they need to deal with injuries and the Raiders. The good news for Dallas after its 19-9 loss to the Chiefs? The imploding Raiders are coming to town on Thanksgiving. The bad news? The Cowboys have been outscored 66-45 by the AFC West this season. Oof.  5. Kansas City Chiefs (7-4):  The Chiefs look like a team ready to restore order in the chaotic AFC. The defense is getting back to its former form. Now we’ll see if the offense eventually can do the same. Melvin Ingram’s arrival has allowed Chris Jones to move back inside and return to his position as a game wrecker. Is the defense really keeping the Chiefs in games? The Chiefs’ offense still is figuring some things out, but rumors of their demise were greatly exaggerated.  4. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (7-3):  Last year, they didn’t need home-field advantage in the playoffs. This year, they do. Tom Brady saw Justin Herbert run for 90 yards Sunday night and decided to show off his wheels with a 10-yard run against the Giants. That was the most exciting moment of a Monday-nightsnooze fest. The competition jumps up a notch next Sunday with a road matchup against the red-hot Colts. 3. New England Patriots (7-4):  The Pats matched their 2020 win total by Thanksgiving and have found themselves in first place as a result. This team is one the up and up. Physical defense, bruising run game and a polished rookie quarterback who does exactly what is asked of him. Bill Belichick’s Patriots are hitting their stride and there’s no reason they can’t win an AFC filled with flawed contenders. Mac Jones reminds so many of a rookie from 2001. The Pats could end up partying like it’s 2001. Tampa Bay won the battle earlier but Coach Belichick has eyes on the War in February.  2. Green Bay Packers (8-3):  The Packers are dealing with two toe injuries. Their knicker and their quarterback. Aaron Rodgers is hurting with a toe injury but Green Bay just lost star offensive lineman Elgton Jenkins. The Packers desperately need their bye, but first, they have to deal with a Rams team looking to get right. The Packers remain in fine shape, but they'll need to grind their way to the finish line. 1. Arizona Cardinals (9-2):  The Cardinals swept their NFC West road slate by a score of 91-50 and did so with Colt McCoy starting two of those three games. Coach Cool and the Cards are for real. But, they need to avoid having to play a playoff game in Green Bay at all costs. Zona hits a perfectly timed bye week. Murray (ankle) and DeAndre Hopkins (hamstring) now get two more weeks to heal up before a favorable Week 13 matchup against the Bears. McCoy, meanwhile, probably bought himself another three years of lucrative backup work through his performance this month. Good gig.

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NFL Top 10 Rankings - Week #10

by Wayne Root

Wednesday, Nov 10, 2021

Is anybody any good in this league? Doesn’t seem so.  10.New England Patriots (5-4) This is the one team no one in the AFC will want to see in the postseason. Three wins in a row and the Patriots are once again a threat in the AFC East, but Mac Jones’ continued improvement will determine if they’ll be a Super Bowl factor come January. Highlighting the Pats’ defensive effort against Darnold & the Panthers was CB JC Jackson’s 88-yard pick-six interception in the 24-6 win. Not only was Darnold shutdown, the return of Carolina RB Christian McCaffrey soured as he was held to 52 yards on the ground and four catches by New England’s defense. Hosting the Browns (minus Chubb) this Sunday.  9. Los Angeles Chargers (5-3) They desperately needed a win in Philly, and they definitely need to find a way to keep winning. QB Justin Herbert had three touchdowns on the road against the Eagles after the Bolts lost to the Patriots at home the week prior. Most importantly, Herbert drove his team down the field to setup the game-winning kick… the type of game Chargers fans got used to losing late for a long time. Justin Herbert was 17-of-20 for 205 yards with a TD and rushing TD in the second half of the Chargers’ win over the Eagles. LA didn’t punt all game. When the Bolts are clicking, they are scary. Next up, Minnesota Vikings.  8. Buffalo Bills (5-3) Not long ago, they were dominant. Now, they’re in real danger of losing the division to the Patriots. Buffalo’s offense was non-existent in a stinker against the Jaguars. And just like that, the Patriots are on their heels. The Bills’ reign might be over before it even began if Josh Allen can’t right the ship fast. The Bills had what was likely their worst day on offense since QB Josh Allen’s breakout 2020 year. Bills QB Josh Allen’s ugly games are pretty darn ugly. He’s failed to reach a passer rating of 80 or better in three out of eight games this year. Buffalo fell 9-6 to the Jacksonville Jaguars in a shocker. But there was some good: the Bills’ improved defense is here to stay. Division game with the Jets; but did you see the point spread? -13.5!! 7. Dallas Cowboys (6-2) The Cowboys will be fine, but getting punked at home by a Broncos team that just traded away its best player is inexcusable if you want to be considered a legitimate Super Bowl contender. In a big difference compared to the Bills and Chiefs, the Cowboys’ loss came with nothing good. The defense was smoked early and often and Dallas didn’t close the gap on the scoreboard until this one was over (but QB Dak Prescott coming off an injury wasn’t given time to rest. Huh?). The Cowboys will probably bounce back but this bad loss might cost Dallas their shot at the No. 1 seed.Dallas plays Hotlanta this week.  6. Baltimore Ravens (6-2) The Ravens don’t always make it easy but they find a way to get the job done. Baltimore leads a very competitive AFC North. The Ravens are the comeback kids of the 2021 NFL season. QB Lamar Jackson was the centerpiece of Baltimore’s 34-31 win in overtime vs. the Vikes. The Ravens overcome a double-digit deficit for the third time this season. Sunday was the Ravens' fourth win this season when having a win probability of 15 percent or lower at some point in the second half. Lamar Jackson and the cardiac kids are hard to kill. Ravens get top billing on TNF against Miami.  5. Los Angeles Rams (7-2) After Sunday, the Rams are about to trade a 2029 first-round pick for Jeffery Simmons. In a battle of top-10 heavyweights, the Rams fell short against the Titans, 28-16. With RB Derrick Henry out, Tennessee leaned on their defense and it worked. Rams QB Matthew Stafford has costly giveaways and missteps he’ll have to cleanup. Matthew Stafford’s MVP hype took a hit with the veteran quarterback throwing one real bad interception near their own goal line (shades of Carson Wentz) and another pick to post a 71.0 passer rating in the Rams’ second loss. Missed opportunity for LA to gain ground on the push for the No. 1 seed. They get MNF against rival 49ers.  4. Tennessee Titans (7-2) Tennessee now has five straight wins, with the last four coming over BUF, KC, IND, and LAR. No gimmes in that stretch. OK, fine, the Titans are more than just Derrick Henry. Happy? No King Henry? No problem. That defensive effort was highlighted by the Titans defense forcing two interceptions by Stafford only seconds apart on back-to-back throws. The second of which was taken back for a 24-yard score. The Titans will love if Henry gets back in time for a postseason run, but Tennessee showed they can more than keep their head above water without him. There aren’t many obvious losses left on the schedule. The Saints come marching in looking for an upset.  3. Green Bay Packers (7-2) Aaron Rodgers’ selfishness knocked the Packers out of the top seed in the NFC. Sunday’s loss to the Chiefs with Jordan Love at QB could be the difference between home-field advantage and a bye in the playoffs and a first-round date with the Rams or Cardinals. What a leader. Love struggled in his first-career start which came under weird circumstances. Thanks to QB Aaron Rodgers’ off-field, COVID-19 related distractions all week, the Packers’ loss to the Chiefs was more about that than anything else. The Seahawks are in Green Bay with Wilson back at QB.  2. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (6-2) The Bucs had perhaps the best bye week ever, with plenty of contenders losing. Tom Brady sat at home and watched the Saints, Cowboys, Packers and Rams all lose. That’ll do. This is the time of the year that Tom Brady looks to separate his team from the rest. t Washington Football Team Sunday.  1. Arizona Cardinals (8-1) And speaking of not having your best… Murray, Hopkins and WR AJ Green didn’t play and the depth pieces in Arizona still stood out. QB Colt McCoy and RB James Conner led a 31-17 win over the 49ers in a NFC West win. How are you supposed to not give the Cards your No. 1 spot this week? With Kyler Murray, DeAndre Hopkins, J.J. Watt and A.J. Green in sweatpants, the Cardinals bulldozed the 49ers at Levi’s Stadium. Take a bow, Kliff Kingsbury. Can Carolina pull a fast one this Sunday for the upset?

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First-Half Looks At Each NFL Team

by Stephen Nover

Tuesday, Nov 09, 2021

Now that every team in the NFL has played at least eight games, it's time to take stock of each one.Here are my thoughts and observations of the NFL teams. AFC East Buffalo: Even with that surprising loss to the Jaguars last week, I still say the Bills are the most complete team in football. I like my 30-1 ticket on Sean McDermott to be the Coach of the Year. New England: The Patriots aren't going to the Super Bowl. But Bill Belichick is doing one of his greatest coaching jobs. The Patriots are 5-4 despite having below .500 talent. New York Jets: Their defense has played with heart, but the Jets keep losing key defenders. The latest to go down is safety Marcus Maye. That's a huge loss. I see the Jets getting completely worn down as the season progresses. The Jets need to take the training wheels off Zach Wilson. Mike White showed how capable the Jets' offense is when they play loose. Miami: The Dolphins overachieved last season. This year they are one of the biggest underachievers. Just what is their identity? Oh wait, they don't have one. AFC NorthBaltimore: This is a team that knows how to win. Just not cover margins. Of the Ravens' first six victories, four have been by a combined 12 points, including one six-point victory in overtime. They are 1-5 against the spread (ATS) the six times they've been favored this season. Pittsburgh: Mike Tomlin quietly has done an outstanding job. T.J. Watt makes the Steelers' defense good, but it's far from great. The offense is mediocre with a work-in-progress offensive line and Ben Roethilisberger in his dotage. Cleveland: Just when you think you can trust Cleveland you can't. Don't expect much and then be surprised if anything good occurs is the recommended approach with the Browns. Good move by the Browns to part with Odell Beckham Jr. I will say, Beckham was open a lot and Baker Mayfield would miss him. Mayfield is a better commercial pitchman than NFL quarterback. I count 17 quarterbacks better than Mayfield. Cincinnati: Maybe it's because of Joe Burrow and his exciting group of wide receivers, but I find myself liking the Bengals more than in past seasons. Their mediocre play in the trenches, pedigree and coaching, though, likely will doom them to another year of missing the playoffs. AFC SouthTennessee: The Titans' beating the Bills, Chiefs, Colts and Rams during the past four weeks is the most impressive streak of the year. Can't take that away from them. I'm not even sure, however, that they win the division even though they currently lead the Colts by three games. The Titans have been outgained per play, surrendered big passing games to Carson Wentz and Zach Wilson and no longer have Derrick Henry. Those are red flags.Indianapolis: Carson Wentz is having a nice bounce back season. Jonathan Taylor is living up to preseason predictions as a top-five running back. It wouldn't shock me to see the Colts launch a serious challenge to the Titans for the division. The Colts don't have that It factor, though. Making the playoffs is about their ceiling. Jacksonville: Urban Meyer survived not being the first coach fired. He's been a joke, however, as an NFL coach. Trevor Lawrence hasn't thrown multiple TD passes since Week 1. That's on Meyer. Wentz gets coached up. Lawrence gets coached down.Houston: To paraphrase the late Dennis Green: ''The Texans are who we thought they were.'' But don't crown their asses. They are at expansion team level. Much of their destruction was caused by Bill O'Brien, who should never be allowed to work in the NFL again for how he ruined this once competitive franchise. As for DeShaun Watson forget it. When 22 women accuse you of assault and sexual misconduct you're guilty. He needs to be punished before being allowed to play again. AFC WestLos Angeles Chargers: Hard team to get a handle on. Joey Bosa and Derwin James are great players. Yet the Chargers rank 23rd in scoring defense. Justin Herbert, Austin Ekeler and Keenan Allen are among the best at their respective positions yet the Chargers are only 14th in scoring. The Chargers put up 47 points on the Browns, but just six points on the Ravens. I do find Brandon Staley a coaching upgrade on Anthony Lynn. It was a small bar for Staley. But special teams still hinder the Chargers. Las Vegas Raiders: Strong defensive improvement and a career year so far from Derek Carr have elevated the Raiders to a 5-3 mark. The fallout from Jon Gruden and tragedy caused by Henry Ruggs' recklessness and stupidity are going to be difficult to put in the past, though, even though both of them are off the team. Kansas City: Patrick Mahomes hasn't been playing like a God this season. I'd still take Mahomes over any other quarterback. But the Chiefs have committed an NFL-high 19 turnovers, which has made them the most disappointing team in the NFL at this juncture Denver: Despite their upset victory against the Cowboys, the Broncos aren't going anywhere. Too many key defensive injuries. Vic Fangio is an ace defensive coordinator overmatched as a head coach. I don't see the point of starting journeyman Teddy Bridgewater and giving Melvin Gordon so much work. Find out what Drew Lock can do and make Javon Williams their bellcow running back. NFC EastDallas: An explosive offense, an infusion of young defensive talent and much better defensive coaching courtesy of new defensive coordinator Dan Quinn have elevated the Cowboys into a serious NFC contender. The gap has become very wide between Dallas and the rest of the NFC East Lilliputians. Philadelphia: Nick Sirianni could prove one and done. Jalen Hurts is a far better fantasy football QB than a real one. The Eagles are 0-4 SU, 1-3 ATS during their first four home games. New York Giants: The Giants are below average in every facet. They have a dazzling array of skill position talent surrounding Daniel Jones. Unfortunately much of it has been sidelined. Only once in their first nine games have the Giants managed to score more than 25 points in regulation. They have yet to reach the 30-point barrier. Washington: The defense has been missing in action all season. That was an unexpected bad development. But Washington was setting itself up for failure opening the season with Ryan Fitzpatrick as the starting QB. Backup Taylor Heinicke's limitations become more pronounced as the season grows longer. NFC NorthGreen Bay: An upper tier offense and improved defensive coaching make the Packers a serious Super Bowl contender. The Packers do have an Achilles' heel - special teams. It has been terrible for years. Their coverage and return teams remain as bad as ever. Minnesota: I'm embarrassed to admit that I pegged the Vikings to win the division. Instead Minnesota has regressed. The Vikings' offensive line still isn't good. Kirk Cousins hasn't shaken his deserved reputation as a glorified game manager and now the defense is down because of injuries to Danielle Hunter and Patrick Peterson. Mike Zimmer is on the hot seat. Chicago: Justin Fields is an exciting talent. However, he can't overcome his inexperience, nor the bad coaching he's getting.  The Bears' defense is not the dominant unit it once was so the offense doesn't get bailed out. Detroit: Dan Campbell is a sympathetic character. Imagine having the worst wide receiving group in recent memory plus multiple injuries that have thinned out what already was a weak starting lineup. Detroit isn't bad enough, though, to go 0-17.NFC SouthTampa Bay: How remarkable is Tom Brady? He entered his bye week on pace to throw for 5,631 yards and 53 TD's. The Buccaneers have a stout run defense. Once the injuries in their secondary heal they will definitely be the team to beat again if they aren't already. New Orleans: They didn't seem to miss Drew Brees last season. They miss him this season. I don't see the Saints making a playoff run with a QB combination of Trevor Siemian/Taysom Hill throwing to below average wide receivers. Atlanta: The Falcons never fully recovered from blowing the Super Bowl to the Patriots. They are 22-34 the past four years, including 4-4 this season. Atlanta is in no-man's land. Not a bottom feeder, but not a playoff team either. Matt Ryan is 36. I don't see a quick fix working for them. Carolina: There's some outstanding young defensive talent on this team. It doesn't matter. Even if Christian McCaffrey is back to 100 percent, the Panthers aren't ever going to win this division until they find the right quarterback. Sam Darnold is injured and seeing ghosts again. He has a 4-to-10 touchdown-to-interception ratio in his last six games. NFC WestArizona: The league's biggest surprise at 8-1. I don't see the Cardinals keeping this up with Kyler Murray and DeAndre Hopkins both banged-up. Los Angeles Rams: I like the Rams' all-in approach. Matthew Stafford finally is with the right team with the right coach. Cooper Kupp has been the league's best wide receiver so far. Aaron Donald is the No. 1 defensive lineman in the NFC if not all of football. Jalen Ramsey is in the argument for being the top cornerback. That's serious star power.Seattle: The Seahawks are poised to make a move with Russell Wilson back from his thumb injury. This is a team that never should be counted out. San Francisco: Kyle Shanahan is the most overrated coach in the league. The 49ers are 3-5 and have yet to play the Rams. San Francisco hasn't beaten an above .500 team. The 49ers' three victories occurred versus the Lions, Eagles and Bears whose combined record is 6-20. If they lose at home to the Rams on Monday it's time to begin the Trey Lance era. 

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The Reason NBA Totals Are Going Under

by Wayne Root

Thursday, Nov 04, 2021

Give us that Corporate Money! Wilson is believed to be paying between $25 million and $35 million annually for the NBA contract to supply basketballs. Chicago-based Wilson is part of Amer Sports, which was acquired in 2019 by an ownership consortium including ANTA Sports, China’s largest sportswear brand. “Certainly the NBA is extremely cognizant of the importance of China to its long-term growth,” said Jon Bogert, the editor and publisher of Sporting Goods Intelligence, a publication that tracks the industry. “ANTA has a huge retail footprint in China.  Give us that Easy Cash!Why is this news a concern to all NBA sports bettors? There are 30 NBA teams and few are scoring points as in the past few seasons so far. Of the thirty teams, only four are + 2 wins to the over. There are four other teams that are +1 to the over but with juice, the bettors are losing. Betting over the total has only been profitable to four or thirty NBA teams.  How to take Advantage The other 20 teams are all losing if you bet the over. Twelve teams have only gone over the posted total 2 times with eight teams at one or none. Betting the under on these 22 teams has huge positive results to the betting gambler. Betting game to go under the spread is making gamblers a fortune. The Reason Games are Falling Under the TotalAnd there are legitimate reasons. The grooves on these new basketballs are different. The leather is not tanned exactly the same way as Spaulding did for 37 years. The feel of the ball seems different. More teams are shooting three point shots and those shots are 100% about feel. When they don’t feel right coming off your fingers, that’s a disaster. Something that takes time to get used to change whether real or imagined.  Oddsmakers have not Currently Adjusted Lines on TotalsThe oddsmakers are still making lines based on the last two year averages which in long term ends up close to 50/50 by years end. The average owner/under set is around 220. The average final is about 210 thus far. The oddsmakers will start to trend the opening total downward but they are typical slow to change.  As from the Manufacture“The biggest thing is to get the balls broken in and get the players comfortable with the ball, and it’s the first time in 37 years that an NBA team is starting a season with new balls that they have to break in.” Additionally quoted; “So that’s been the one thing that I think everybody recognizes and acknowledges so there are no complaints about the ball, it’s more like, ‘Gosh I got to get it broken in. I got to get it broken in before it feels good.’ From Players and Teams‘The ball feels OK but it needs to get broken in.’ And on the plus side they’re saying things like, it seems to be breaking in quicker than the other guys’ did and stuff like that so some coaches are quoted as saying; “I’m cautiously optimistic and excited.” Lastly, Reminder for the FutureAs the players get used to the feel of the Wilson basketball, there will be a cross point with a rise in scoring and an adjustment to lower opening point spreads by the oddsmakers. Our charts will certainly be zoomed into that data as should yours if you do your on handicapping of NBA totals.   In Closing,We think that this tip and others like it help educate and illustrate that the professional handicappers provide winners and reason why bets win and sports gambling is profitable. 

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Strategic Betting for Maximum Profit

by Wayne Root

Thursday, Oct 28, 2021

For Information OnlyHaving basic betting principles down is a great way to ensure that you’re not simply throwing your money away. Beyond that, you’ll want to have some skills specifically tailored to the sport you’re betting. Let’s start by saying that betting on NBA basketball offers great profit potential to those who know how to navigate this unique betting landscape.  Learn This Strategy If you cannot do the following, it’s fun to learn how and follow us for more information. One big key to staying profitable in NBA betting is to understand how the lines are made and what they mean. Staying sharp in this area will allow you to find spots where the lines are off and ready to be hammered, and also when to stay away, which is a big skill in keeping a good margin in NBA betting. The more you pay attention to the lines and put yourself in the shoes of the oddsmakers, you’ll immediately start to see those profits.  We Professional NBA Handicapper’sOur ultimate NBA betting strategy guide comes directly from experts who have put their money where their mouths are and have made their livelihood as advantage bettors for years. We’re happy to share our insights and expertise to give you helpful strategies to improve your NBA betting prospects. Whether you’re new to NBA betting or you’re a seasoned gambler looking for a way to sharpen your basketball betting acumen, we’re very confident that you’ll find our tips useful. Our “Must Know” Guide This is broken down into sections to help give you an easier read and help make things easy to find if you ever need to come back and get a refresher on a particular topic. Become a Shark; not a Fish to your bookie.  Player Injury and Rest Updates There are plenty of factors that we take into account before continuing with or eliminating a potential game. There is no worse feeling than playing a betting line you think is way off base, only to realize during the game or after your loss that the line was “juicy” because a star player on the team you bet was out for the contest with an injury or in this new age of betting was being rested. Not only do you feel like a square for losing but you feel regret because you know you could have made a better decision simply by checking out the injury updates. Don’t be lazy or assume everything is set the same for that evening’s game. When news breaks, it takes time for books to adjust the lines. The sharks take advantage of this. The fish miss out or get eaten alive because they didn’t know the facts. Don’t be a fish; BE A SHARK! Money Management  It’s so easy to fall in love with your best play of the day as an amateur after hearing others on Sports-Center recommended it or your mates you talk too also love it. It’s only human nature to want to double or triple your wager. WRONG! I don’t care how much you love a game, it still can lose.  No matter how basic your method may be, having a way to keep an eye on your bankroll will help keep you from going off the rails with huge bets that could cripple you if they miss. After a few “key can’t miss losses” blow up your bankroll, you’ll be more likely to avoid the temptation of showing a total disregard to strong money management principles. A good plan is the best way to stay in the pocket with your betting system and find out what works and what doesn’t over an extended period of time but begin by betting 90% of all bets for the same amount. As an example: if you average bet is $300, do not increase it or decrease it for two week periods. That way, if you win during week one and lose in week two, your money management kept you even. If you win two weeks in a row, increase your units of play and stick with them in weeks 3 and 4. Then continue…. Schedule Tracking The premise is simple; teams don’t perform as well when they’re fatigued as they do when they’re fresh. Much like the injury tracking mentioned above, it’s also good common sense to make sure your betting horse isn’t limping into the arena on tired legs. In the NBA, playing three games in four days or five games in seven days is not uncommon. But what was long held by sharps has now become a legit game changer in the age of data and analytics. We’re sure some big shot at the books played a role as well, but the bottom line is that schedule tracking is a big thing to watch out for now. And it’s so easy to do.  Get A Working CalendarSchedule tracking is looking at a team’s schedule and looking for rough patches in the schedule that would lead the team to be tired or fatigued. Like those stretches mentioned above. The hope is that on these particular games, the betting line fails to reflect this crucial factoid and a team is overvalued, giving great value to a bet against that team. The oddsmakers, (who’s not your friend), loves to set traps to exploit the betting masses This is especially valuable for teams that the betting public likes no matter the case, as books have to keep the lines high to keep their action balanced. Separator Skills A Must! Are You Just Guessing? This is a must to learn to become a successful bettor on your own. Many bettors can’t grasp this so smartly they rely on the seasoned NBA handicapping pro. Learning to think about the bookmaker’s intentions when putting out a line is definitely one of those “separator” skills – by that we mean that it’s one of those defining betting skills that separate the consistently profitable pros from the losing recreational bettors. REMINDER: Become a Shank; not a fish. And it takes your effort. Ask Yourselves Why This Team and At That Point Spread. This is a “game behind the game” tip, but it’s extremely important in NBA betting (just as much as in NFL betting, in our opinion). The principle is to ask a very simple question: why did the book open the line at that number? Expert sharps consider it second nature to ask this question, but most amateurs never even think to. Tip of the Week For Betting NBA It was mentioned before that the oddsmakers are not your friend. I don’t care if you’ve known him for 10 years. PS: I’ll bet he knows who you’re going to bet as soon as his phone rings. And in a nanosecond, he’s changed the number just on your bets in his favor. It’s called “line shading”. Bookmakers capitalize on these common perceptions by putting pick’em games out at Home Team (-1) or (-1.5) to make the public pay a premium on their habit. They’ll also put out Home Team (-1) opening lines even if the home team should open as a 1-point underdog. It’s another way to trap the public. If public perception is that the game is a flip, the bookmakers know they’re going to receive more bets on the home team. As discussed, “line shading” is a term referring to when a bookmaker anticipates heavy betting action on one side of a matchup and moves an opening betting line toward that side. Oddsmakers don’t miss a trick to keep the public confused.  Fade the Public We’re sure you see this a lot; it’s part of almost any expert betting advice on any sport that’s out there. Well, it’s there for good reason! The books are there to make money, and they make money by forcing the public to pay a premium for their popular notions. Learn what is suggested. It’s not that hard. Or follow us and let us do your homework for you. More wisdom here,Confucius Says: To guess is cheap, to guess wrong is very expensive. 

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Nover's View: Best and Worst of Monday Night Football

by Stephen Nover

Tuesday, Oct 26, 2021

 By Stephen NoverOf all the announcers available, you would think that highly prestigious NFL Monday Night Football could do better than Steve Levy, Brian Griese and Louis Riddick. Riddick isn't bad. He understands the game and personnel. But Griese has no personality and doesn't say anything of value or interest. Levy is plain overmatched. He doesn't know football well enough to do play-by-play. The Monday night crew has a long list of bad play-by-play announcers. Levy is right there with the worst of them. I should know. I've watched Monday Night Football since its inception in 1970. Here is my list of the all-time best and worst of the Monday night announcers. Best Play-by-Play Announcers: 1. Al Michaels: Simply the greatest football play-by-play announcer of all-time. Astute, sharp, witty, totally on the ball. Never makes a mistake and isn't afraid to point out things other play-by-play announcers would shy away from. His ''Now the game really is Over,'' as a subtle reference to the total going Over in a game where the outcome was decided but not yet the total is a classic. 2. Keith Jackson: Jackson was the first play-by-play announcer in 1970. He brought a charisma to the job with funny expressions and was smart enough to stay out of the way of Howard Cosell and Don Meredith. 3. Mike Tirico: He wasn't spectacular, or strong like Michaels. Just a solid pro. Worst Play-by-Play Announcers:1. Frank Gifford: One of the most overrated broadcasters of all-time. Constantly would make mistakes. He was nicknamed ''Faultless Frank.'' He should have been called just the opposite - ''Faulting Frank.'' 2. Mike Patrick: I just hated this guy. Huge ego. Always screaming whether it was a 2-yard run, or a legitimate big play. You never could tell the difference. A receiver would make a routine catch and Patrick would go nuts yelling, ''I can't believe what I just saw.'' No, I could believe it. I just couldn't believe what I heard. 3. Steve Levy: A bumptious, overmatched lightweight. Best Color Commentators:1. Dennis Miller: I know, I know. Just about everybody hated Miller during his two-year stint of color commentating from 2000-2001. I admit he was ill-suited to the job. But I found him absolutely hilarious when I could understand his jokes and arcane references. I wasn't in need of someone trying to explain plays and strategy. Miller was a most welcomed change of pace. I'm still shocked he was even hired for the position and then actually lasted a second season.2. Howard Cosell: Another highly controversial figure. Cosell didn't know the game that well. But he knew how to articulate his points and would go after anybody, or anything. He was a heavyweight. He also was great doing halftime highlights in his staccato voice and was a tremendous interviewer. Like him or hate him, Cosell really made Monday Night Football. 3. Don Meredith: He played great opposite Cosell. Extremely witty with a knack of knowing and saying the right thing at the right moment. Meredith had the greatest ad-lib in Monday Night Football history when the camera panned to the stands focusing on a fan, who unexpectedly raised his middle finger at the TV audience. Undeterred and unflappable, Meredith said look he's pointing out that his team is No. 1.4. John Madden: The best combination of knowledge, insight and humor of any color commentator. 5. Alex Karras: He had maybe the best line in Monday Night Football history when the camera zoomed in on frightening-looking Otis Sistrunk, Karras quipped that Sistrunk was from the University of Mars. Worst Color Commentators:1. Boomer Esiason: There's a scene in a famous Woody Allen comedy where a kid in grade school always gets the wrong answer and Woody Allen just puts his hands over his face and slaps his head. That's how I feel about Esiason. The guy gets a pass from the national media because he's photogenic and articulate. But he always says something wrong. His opinions are terrible. 2. Frank Gifford: Gifford was a triple threat when he played football for the Giants. He was a double threat - to the audience - when he was a broadcaster being horrible at play-by-play and just as ineffective when he was a color commentator never providing any insight or provocative viewpoints. Just a huge bore. 3. Paul Maguire: Mcguire had the reputation of mixing football knowledge with being clever and funny. He was neither. His stories and jokes were clingworthy. He also was far more wrong than right on his comments. 4. O.J. Simpson: O.J. makes the top-five list independent of being a killer. He was a jovial, superficial cipher who never brought any insight or inside information. He just smiled and made bland and innocuous comments. 5. Jason Witten: Fortunately Witten lasted just a single season, 2018. He brought no special insight. He was a master at malapropism. Best Sideline Reporters:1. Lesley Visser: She was more than just a pretty face. She brought a journalistic touch to what started out to be a fluff position. 2. Michele Tafoya: Knowledgeable and asked the right questions. Worst Sideline Reporters1. Eric Dickerson: The first requirement to being an announcer is the ability to talk. Dickerson had trouble speaking. He was hard to understand. As great a running back that he was, that's how bad he was as a sideline reporter.2. Lisa Guerrero: She didn't know football. This was apparent and highly embarrassing.

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NFL Week 7: Top 10 Rankings

by Wayne Root

Thursday, Oct 21, 2021

As we enter into bye weeks:   1. Tampa Bay Buccaneers, 5-1  Tom Brady leads the league in passing, but he'll face a tougher challenge against the Bears' defense Sunday in Tampa. The Bucs have played well from the outset this season after often struggling last season before beginning their championship push in December. The biggest issue now is the depleted secondary, How important is newly signed CB Richard Sherman injury? 2. Arizona Cardinals, 6-0  Could this be there downfall moving forward? The Cards have NFL-high 24 coronavirus cases within organization entering Week 7. Last week; No head coach? No matter. The Cardinals still won Sunday in Cleveland minus Kliff Kingsbury. They remain the league’s only unbeaten team, and there’s no doubting at this point that they are for real. It's a long season -- remember, the Steelers started 11-0 last year -- but there's not much you can criticize the Cardinals for right now. RIGHT?  3. Los Angeles Rams, 5-1 Matthew Stafford was sharp and the Rams were dominant while beating the Giants. The Rams scored 28 points in the second quarter against the Giants. That will work. Former Rams quarterback, Jared Goff is returning home this week. Didn’t he have any WR’s? WR Cooper Kupp appears headed for a career year, leading the league in targets (68) – the only NFL player with at least 10 in every game – receptions (46) and TD grabs (7). 4. Baltimore Ravens, 5-1  Quite a statement by the Ravens, who demolished one of the hottest teams in the league; the Chargers.They overwhelmed the Chargers in Baltimore. Lamar Jackson wasn’t superhuman this time, but he didn’t need to be. Latavius Murray, Le’Veon Bell and Devonta Freeman provided rushing touchdowns on a turn-back-the-clock day for the team’s veteran backs. 5. Dallas Cowboys, 5-1  Could this be Jerry’s year? That game in New England was one the Cowboys used to lose. It wasn't pretty, but they found a way to win. Dallas leads the NFC with 14 takeaways – with at least two in 10 consecutive games for the first time since 1976-77. Coordinator Dan Quinn and Co. are getting it done. The Cowboys had a memorable victory and a three-game lead in the NFC East to savor entering a bye week that provides time for Prescott’s calf injury to heal. Yes! It will be Jerry’s year.  6. Green Bay Packers, 5-1  Aaron Rodgers taunted the fans in Chicago. He could have chosen his words more tactfully, but the “I still own you” sentiments were accurate, given his 22-5 career record against the Bears. Rodgers and the Packers have been fantastic since their opening loss to the Saints. The Packers still don't look like a true Super Bowl contender, but they could get stronger as the season goes along as key players return from injury.  7. Buffalo Bills, 4-2 The Bills looked practically unbeatable during their four-game winning streak. But the Titans showed that, while the Bills are very good, they certainly can be beaten. I didn't hate the decision by Sean McDermott to go for the win on fourth down instead of playing for overtime. The Titans just made a better play. Look how that loss affected Buffalo. The Bills are now projected as the conference's fourth playoff seed through six weeks. 8. Los Angeles Chargers, 4-2  That was a dud of a performance in the lopsided loss Sunday in Baltimore. Just when the Chargers had begun to seem trustworthy, they reverted to being the Chargers. It was a bit of a reality check for the Chargers in Baltimore, but this is a good team that will bounce back. However the opponents game plans are to rush. They're also now the league's worst team defending the run. 9. Kansas City Chiefs, 3-3  They’re not back to being the mighty Chiefs. Not yet. Patrick Mahomes might have thrown the worst interception of his career in Washington, but he also made some big plays to win. They’re still in the basement but least, are back to .500. Tennessee might send to where there are no chance for the playoffs.  10. Tennessee Titans, 4-2  It's probably time to stop sleeping on the Titans. They had a bad loss against the Jets, but still appear to be a very good team. Derrick Henry was terrific Monday night, and the Titans used a late fourth-down stop by their defense to hold off the Bills. But seriously, how did they ever lose to the Jets?———————-These teams want in!!11. New Orleans 12. Cincinnati 13. Cleveland 14. Carolina 15. Minnesota 

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Nover's View: Point spread thoughts on 7 and Lions

by Stephen Nover

Tuesday, Oct 19, 2021

The two topics in today's NFL column are the point spread number 7 and the Detroit Lions. I'll save the worst for last. So let's begin with 7. We all know 3 is the most important point spread number in football. The next most significant point spread number is 4. Then 7. However, 7 is not nearly as important as it used to be. This is because of more missed extra points and teams understanding analytics thus attempting 2-point conversions more frequently. The value between 6 and 7 isn't nearly what it once was because of these factors. A team winning by exactly seven points has happened five times this season in 94 games through the quarter mark of the season. That's 5.3 percent compared to 7.4 percent the number of times a team has won by exactly six points this season. Note that twice of the five instances it was underdogs that won by exactly seven points. There were a couple of times, the latest being the Cowboys beating the Patriots, where a team won by six in overtime and not seven because there was no extra point try with the outcome decided. Conclusion being don't spend money buying extra juice to get 7 if taking 6 1/2, or laying 7 1/2. Not worth it. Now on to the Lions. Ever heard of Amon-Ra St. Brown, Kalif Raymond, KhaDarel Hodge, Tom Kennedy and Geronimo Allison? Didn't think so. Those are Detroit's wide receivers. I've been watching the NFL for 58 years and have never seen a less distinguished group of wide receivers. Tyrell Williams was supposed to be the Lions' No. 1 wideout after Kenny Golladay went to the Giants. Williams is injured. So is Quinten Cephus, who was the lone wide receiver to display some potential. Unfortunately, he suffered a broken collarbone and is out for the year. Jared Goff was only effective with the Rams when the setting was right, which meant playing in LA's nice weather with excellent weapons and backed by the coaching of offensive guru Sean McVay. Goff is exposed with the Lions as the timid downfield passer that he is unable to make any of his wideouts better. Aside from tight end T.J. Hockenson and running back D'Andre Swift, Goff has extremely limited talent around him. That's true. But Goff doesn't do anything to elevate this talent. Despite being the only winless team in the NFL and hit hard by injuries - on both sides of the ball - the Lions still display effort. They held the Ravens, Bears and Vikings to an average of 20.6 points in their three previous games before getting clobbered, 34-11, by the Bengals this past Sunday. You can't make it in today's NFL without a semblance of a passing attack. The Lions lack this. Detroit has failed to break 17 points since Week 1. The Lions are averaging 15.2 points in their last five games. The last time they scored a touchdown in the first half was on their opening drive back in Week 2. So what do you do with the Lions besides watch another game? Feel bad for Dan Campbell and bet the Under. The Lions have gone Under in each of their last four games. They've gone below the total by a combined 43 1/2 points during this span.

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2022 NBA Futures Wagers: Brooklyn Nets to Win NBA Title

by Al McMordie

Monday, Oct 18, 2021

The 2021-22 NBA season starts tomorrow.  So, without further ado, it's time for my annual preseason prediction of the eventual NBA champion.  Last season, I nailed both my NBA (Milwaukee Bucks @ 13-2 odds) and College Basketball (Baylor @ 12-1 odds) futures bets to carry on what has been an unparalleled successful run on futures predictions.  That was the 2nd straight NCAA Basketball season I hit my preseason ticket, as I forecast Virginia (at 22-1 odds) in the 2018-19 preseason!  Also in 2019, I hit another huge longshot on the Washington Nationals (at 18-1 odds), and followed that up in 2020 with the Los Angeles Dodgers (at 4-1 odds).  Among my other recent winners were the Houston Astros in 2017 (at 10-1 odds), Tampa Bay Lightning in 2020 (at 7-1 odds), San Antonio Spurs (2014, 14-1 odds; 1999, 11-2 odds), Golden State Warriors (2016, 5-1 odds; 2018, -160 odds), and Green Bay Packers (2011, 10-1 odds).For this season, I'm going to turn to the team which Milwaukee ousted by two inches (the distance Kevin Durant was inside the 3-point arc) in the NBA quarterfinals:  the Brooklyn Nets.  The current odds on Brooklyn are +260 (at BetOnline), and they've remained largely unchanged throughout the current Kyrie Irving turmoil.  It's undeniable that the Nets are a better team with Irving at point guard.  His ability to break down a defense through dribble penetration allows both Kevin Durant and James Harden to operate more freely on the offensive end.  But it's also undeniable that the Nets will be hugely competitive without him (as they were last season in his absence).  I firmly believe the situation will eventually resolve itself one way or the other.  Either Irving will get vaccinated, which will allow him to fully participate with Brooklyn, or he will remain intransigent.  In that instance, no matter what Irving says today about being traded (he says he would retire), I believe cooler heads would prevail and GM Sean Marks would work out a trade to bring back pieces to Brooklyn.  So, I'm more than comfortable taking the Brooklyn Nets, as currently constituted, to win the NBA Championship at +260.Last season, even though an injury-riddled Brooklyn team lost the series to the eventual NBA champion Bucks, it outscored them in the 7-game playoff series by 2.86 ppg.  And it also throttled Boston in the first round series by 11.2 ppg.  I don't see anything -- not even Irving's principles -- getting in the way of Durant, Harden, and the rest of the Nets hoisting the Larry O'Brien NBA Championship Trophy in June.  Take Brooklyn.Good luck, as always,Al McMordie

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NFL Week 6: Top 10 Teams

by Wayne Root

Thursday, Oct 14, 2021

1. Buffalo Bills, 4-1 There’s currently a gap between the Bills and everyone else. So it's only right to put the Bills at No. 1 after a convincing win in Kansas City. Josh Allen has the offense humming and this team looks like its the best in the AFC right now. Difficult MNF game this week.  2. Tampa Bay Buccaneers, 4-1 Remember Tom Brady's inexplicable loss on "Thursday Night Football" against the Bears last year? Yeah, he probably does too. However, Brady continues to play ridiculous football for his age and the Bucs' lock in at No. 2  3. Arizona Cardinals, 5-0  The last unbeaten team still has work to do to get to the very top of the list.The Cardinals weren’t great against the 49ers last week…but won. The defense has come around and was flying all over the field against the 49ers and if that's sustained, the Cardinals look like a legitimate threat in the NFC.  4. Los Angeles Rams, 4-1  Are the Rams even the best team in L.A? The gap is getting narrower. The Rams got a little bit of a break with Russell Wilson getting hurt, but anytime you leave Seattle with a win, it's a good thing. They’re a double digit favorite this week.   5. Los Angeles Chargers, 4-1 What a game against the Browns. Justin Herbert is crazy good and the Chargers are for real. They don’t like to punt or kick field goals and get huge smiles at any fourth and whatever. They”ll go for it from anywhere. They need to play a powerhouse team and win both sides of the ball to prove a few things.   6. Dallas Cowboys, 4-1  Putting up 44 on the Giants is good. Maybe not great but more than expected. The Cowboys have been enjoying a soft schedule the last few weeks and they have another game they should win Sunday at New England. Both sides of the ball are in harmony.   7. Baltimore Ravens, 4-1  The Ravens were awfully sleepy early against the Colts, but woke up in a big way. The Ravens discovered their passing game, by necessity. That could take the offense, and the team, to new heights. Lamar Jackson had an all-time performance.  8. Cleveland Browns, 3-2 They could be 5-0. After Sunday, they actually could be 3-3. The Browns tried to out score the Chargers and forgot about playing any kind of defense. They'll face a tough test this week against The Gunslinger from Arizona.   9. Green Bay Packers, 4-1  Their all-star kicker had three misses before getting lucky to even get another opportunity from the Bengals. It certainly wasn't pretty, but the Packers survived in Cincinnati. They can seize control of the NFC North with a win at Soldier Field Sunday.  10. Kansas City Chiefs, 2-3  The Chiefs are still very talented, but they seem stuck in the classic Super Bowl hangover. The good news is they have Patrick Mahomes and can probably get out of it. After Mahomes big payday, does KC have any money left for defense? Who would have predicted they’d be under .500 after five weeks.   —————— They’re coming after you!! 11. Cincinnati 12. Tennessee  13. New Orleans  14. Seattle  15. Denver

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NFL Top 10 (at Week 5)

by Wayne Root

Thursday, Oct 07, 2021

1. CARDINALS;  4-0 The Cardinals stayed undefeated with a statement victory over the Rams on Sunday. They'll look to keep it going when they host the 49ers next Sunday. Kyler Murray the one of the leading MVP candidates heading into Week 5, or at least in the conversation. 2. BUCCANEERS; 3-1 It didn't come as easy as many expected, but Tom Brady and the Buccaneers edged out the Patriots to give the 44-year-old QB a win vs. all 32 NFL teams in his illustrious career. They showed they can win games, even if Tom Brady isn't on top of his game. 3. BILLS; 3-1 It's safe to say Buffalo is all the way back after its puzzling Week 1 loss to the Steelers. The Bills cruised to a 40-0 victory over the Texans on Sunday and will look to stay hot when they visit the Chiefs next Sunday night. The Kansas City game will be a proving ground for the Bills. If they win, they show the league they are the class of the AFC. 4. PACKERS; 3-1After that awful showing in Week 1, they have turned their season around quickly. At 3-1, they have a nice hold of the division after the first month. The Packers earned their third straight win Sunday as they cruised to a 27-17 win over the Steelers. Aaron Rodgers tossed two touchdown passes and rushed for another as he continues to prove that Week 1 dud was a fluke. How many realize that Rodgers is 30,000 passing yards short of Tom Brady?  5. BROWNS; 3-1 It wasn't pretty at Minnesota, but they found a way. That's the sign of a good team. They just keep fighting -- even on bad days. The Browns offense was painful to watch Sunday vs. Minnesota, but a win is a win... right? Cleveland will need a sharper Baker Mayfield and more than 14 points when it visits the Chargers next week. 6. RAMS; 3-1 They put so much into the Tampa Bay game, so there had to be a letdown against the Cardinals. But to that degree? The Rams' dominant run vs. the Cardinals ended Sunday evening as L.A. was outclassed, 37-20. It won't get any easier Thursday night vs. Seattle. Or will it? 7. CHARGERS; 3-1 They beat up on the Raiders Monday night. If the defense plays like that, they will be a real threat in the AFC. Justin Herbert has seven touchdowns and zero interceptions in his last two games, while Austin Ekeler racked up 117 rushing yards Monday night in a win over the undefeated Raiders. So far so good for Brandon Staley's club. 8. COWBOYS; 3-1 After losing their opener on the road, they have really come on strong. The biggest surprise is how well the defense is playing for coordinator Dan Quinn. The Cowboys handed the Panthers their first loss of the season with a four-TD performance from Dak Prescott and a 143-yard, one TD day for Ezekiel Elliott. Trevon Diggs was the star for Dallas with two interceptions, bringing his total on the season to a league-leading five INTs. 9. CHIEFS; 2-2 That offense we saw in Philadelphia is what we expect to see. But the defense still has major issues and now here comes the Bills for a real test. The Chiefs earned a much-needed win over the Eagles on Sunday to bounce back from their two consecutive losses. Philadelphia had no answer for Tyreek Hill, who totaled 11 catches for 186 yards and three TDs. However, they remain in the basement of the AFC West. 10. RAVENS; 3-1 The Ravens made up for nearly losing to the Lions last week by taking down the previously undefeated Broncos, 23-7. That was an impressive road victory against the Broncos. The defense had its best game of the season, which is a good sign. Next, they'll face off against the Colts on Monday NightFootball. —————- Looking to make the Top 10  11. LV Raiders 12. Carolina 13. Seattle  14. Cincinnati  14. Denver

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Most Overrated NFL Coach and Quarterback

by Stephen Nover

Monday, Oct 04, 2021

Judging by how commentators constantly refer to him as a play-calling genius, you would think Kyle Shanahan is a great coach. Going by how many TV commercials he's on and how high profile he is you would think Baker Mayfield is a great quarterback. Truth be told, neither Shanahan nor Mayfield are very good at their respective jobs. I find Shanahan to be the most overrated coach in the NFL and Mayfield to be a bottom-10 quarterback. First Shanahan. He's 31-37 in his four plus years coaching San Francisco. That ranks him in the bottom-10 in win percentage among active head coaches. Shanahan led the 49ers to one Super Bowl and had three disastrous seasons. The 49ers have failed to cover the last NINE times they've been a home favorite. San Francisco is 6-11 ATS in its last 17 games. Maybe Shanahan is an above average play-caller. But you sure couldn't tell that from his two Super Bowls, both losses. Shanahan's play-calling as the Falcons' offensive coordinator during the final minutes of Super Bowl 51 six seasons ago could be considered the worst of all-time. The Falcons had a 28-20 lead with 4:38 left and were in field goal range. But instead of running clock and then kicking a field goal to go up 11 and thus likely wrapping up the game, Shanahan got way too aggressive calling for passes. The Falcons ended up blowing a 25-point lead.Shanahan choked again with questionable Super Bowl play-calling two seasons ago when the 49ers blew a double-digit lead to the Chiefs. The 49ers have had more than their share of injuries last year and this season. Great coaches don't use injuries as an excuse, though. Shanahan and 49ers management made a gutsy decision paying a huge price to trade up to draft Trey Lance. Now with Jimmy Garoppolo dealing with a calf injury, the 49ers should turn the team over to Lance. If Shanahan really is so great, he should be able to coach Lance up. Lance has the mobility and "It'' factor Garoppolo lacks. Let's find out if Shanahan is more Bill Walsh, or more Adam Gase. Mayfield was the No. 1 overall draft pick in the 2018 draft. He certainly is not a bust, but he's been more mediocre than good. These are his passer ratings for the past three seasons: 2019: 31st. 2020: Tied for 15th. 2021: 23rd. Browns coach Kevin Stefanski doesn't let Mayfield bomb away like other quarterbacks get to do. Cleveland is run-oriented. Mayfield, though, plays behind one of the best offensive lines in football and the top 1-2 running back combination in Nick Chubb and Kareem Hunt. Mayfield should be deadly in play-action and have an extremely high percentage with those factors in his favor. But he doesn't. He's just not that talented, or accurate. Mayfield's performance this past Sunday against the Vikings was cringeworthy. He went 15-for-33 for 155 yards failing constantly to connect with a wide open Odell Beckham Jr. Perhaps it was just a bad day for Mayfield. We all have them. But whatever the circumstance, Mayfield fails to live up to the hype while being the endorsement king of the NFL doing commercials for Progressive and Nissan. It seems Mayfield has more commercials than touchdowns.  I find it sickening to see this overrated mediocrity constantly on TV when there are so many other better quarterbacks. 

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