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NFL Week 12: Top 10-Ranked Teams

by Wayne Root

Wednesday, Nov 24, 2021

10. Indianapolis Colts (6-5): After surviving a 1-4 start, the Colts look like one of the most dangerous teams in the unpredictable AFC. But why can’t Jonathan Taylor win MVP? The Colts are 6-0 in games in which he rushed for over 100 yards. This dome team is built for the elements, which will serve them well if they get to the postseason. Bold prediction: Indy wins the AFC South.  9. Baltimore Ravens (7-3):  Lamar Jackson’s illnesses are making Ravens fans a little queasy. Ten games in, the Ravens are a 5-5 masquerading as a 7-3 outfit. But the bill is about to come due. Damn, they’re even making me queasy. The Ravens are getting by on guts right now: Marquise Brown joined Jackson as an inactive on Sunday, while 15 players are parked on injured reserve. Survive and advance. 8. Tennessee Titans (8-3):  Go figure. The Titans are the epitome of this upside-down season, winning seven games against 2020 playoff teams while also losing to the Jets and Texans. No Derrick Henry, no Julio Jones and now A.J. Brown is banged up. The Titans’ offense needs someone to save it, but Ryan Tannehill isn’t up to the task. Tennessee has shown no hints of mounting a sustainable offense since Henry went on the shelf after foot surgery three weeks ago. This all feels like terrible timing for a game against the red-hot Patriots, but Mike Vrabel's Titans have a habit of overcoming the odds.  7. Los Angeles Rams (7-3): If the Rams are the type of team that gains motivation from the doubts of others, well, last week's bye might have been a very productive week. The Greatest Show-offs on Turf need to show something at Lambeau this week or else. The Rams can tweet about going all-in-all they want. But it’s time they show they are more than just empty expectations and a roster assembled on Madden. QB Matthew Stafford heads back to Lambeau Field, where he’s 3-7 all time.  6. Dallas Cowboys (7-3):  An excellent performance by the defense should have put the team in position to make a huge statement at Arrowhead. Instead, Dallas shrunk in the spotlight, fueling speculation we're watching another Cowboys team that's more sizzle than steak. Don’t look now, but here come the Eagles. But for that to matter they need to deal with injuries and the Raiders. The good news for Dallas after its 19-9 loss to the Chiefs? The imploding Raiders are coming to town on Thanksgiving. The bad news? The Cowboys have been outscored 66-45 by the AFC West this season. Oof.  5. Kansas City Chiefs (7-4):  The Chiefs look like a team ready to restore order in the chaotic AFC. The defense is getting back to its former form. Now we’ll see if the offense eventually can do the same. Melvin Ingram’s arrival has allowed Chris Jones to move back inside and return to his position as a game wrecker. Is the defense really keeping the Chiefs in games? The Chiefs’ offense still is figuring some things out, but rumors of their demise were greatly exaggerated.  4. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (7-3):  Last year, they didn’t need home-field advantage in the playoffs. This year, they do. Tom Brady saw Justin Herbert run for 90 yards Sunday night and decided to show off his wheels with a 10-yard run against the Giants. That was the most exciting moment of a Monday-nightsnooze fest. The competition jumps up a notch next Sunday with a road matchup against the red-hot Colts. 3. New England Patriots (7-4):  The Pats matched their 2020 win total by Thanksgiving and have found themselves in first place as a result. This team is one the up and up. Physical defense, bruising run game and a polished rookie quarterback who does exactly what is asked of him. Bill Belichick’s Patriots are hitting their stride and there’s no reason they can’t win an AFC filled with flawed contenders. Mac Jones reminds so many of a rookie from 2001. The Pats could end up partying like it’s 2001. Tampa Bay won the battle earlier but Coach Belichick has eyes on the War in February.  2. Green Bay Packers (8-3):  The Packers are dealing with two toe injuries. Their knicker and their quarterback. Aaron Rodgers is hurting with a toe injury but Green Bay just lost star offensive lineman Elgton Jenkins. The Packers desperately need their bye, but first, they have to deal with a Rams team looking to get right. The Packers remain in fine shape, but they'll need to grind their way to the finish line. 1. Arizona Cardinals (9-2):  The Cardinals swept their NFC West road slate by a score of 91-50 and did so with Colt McCoy starting two of those three games. Coach Cool and the Cards are for real. But, they need to avoid having to play a playoff game in Green Bay at all costs. Zona hits a perfectly timed bye week. Murray (ankle) and DeAndre Hopkins (hamstring) now get two more weeks to heal up before a favorable Week 13 matchup against the Bears. McCoy, meanwhile, probably bought himself another three years of lucrative backup work through his performance this month. Good gig.

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NFL Top 10 Rankings - Week #10

by Wayne Root

Wednesday, Nov 10, 2021

Is anybody any good in this league? Doesn’t seem so.  10.New England Patriots (5-4) This is the one team no one in the AFC will want to see in the postseason. Three wins in a row and the Patriots are once again a threat in the AFC East, but Mac Jones’ continued improvement will determine if they’ll be a Super Bowl factor come January. Highlighting the Pats’ defensive effort against Darnold & the Panthers was CB JC Jackson’s 88-yard pick-six interception in the 24-6 win. Not only was Darnold shutdown, the return of Carolina RB Christian McCaffrey soured as he was held to 52 yards on the ground and four catches by New England’s defense. Hosting the Browns (minus Chubb) this Sunday.  9. Los Angeles Chargers (5-3) They desperately needed a win in Philly, and they definitely need to find a way to keep winning. QB Justin Herbert had three touchdowns on the road against the Eagles after the Bolts lost to the Patriots at home the week prior. Most importantly, Herbert drove his team down the field to setup the game-winning kick… the type of game Chargers fans got used to losing late for a long time. Justin Herbert was 17-of-20 for 205 yards with a TD and rushing TD in the second half of the Chargers’ win over the Eagles. LA didn’t punt all game. When the Bolts are clicking, they are scary. Next up, Minnesota Vikings.  8. Buffalo Bills (5-3) Not long ago, they were dominant. Now, they’re in real danger of losing the division to the Patriots. Buffalo’s offense was non-existent in a stinker against the Jaguars. And just like that, the Patriots are on their heels. The Bills’ reign might be over before it even began if Josh Allen can’t right the ship fast. The Bills had what was likely their worst day on offense since QB Josh Allen’s breakout 2020 year. Bills QB Josh Allen’s ugly games are pretty darn ugly. He’s failed to reach a passer rating of 80 or better in three out of eight games this year. Buffalo fell 9-6 to the Jacksonville Jaguars in a shocker. But there was some good: the Bills’ improved defense is here to stay. Division game with the Jets; but did you see the point spread? -13.5!! 7. Dallas Cowboys (6-2) The Cowboys will be fine, but getting punked at home by a Broncos team that just traded away its best player is inexcusable if you want to be considered a legitimate Super Bowl contender. In a big difference compared to the Bills and Chiefs, the Cowboys’ loss came with nothing good. The defense was smoked early and often and Dallas didn’t close the gap on the scoreboard until this one was over (but QB Dak Prescott coming off an injury wasn’t given time to rest. Huh?). The Cowboys will probably bounce back but this bad loss might cost Dallas their shot at the No. 1 seed.Dallas plays Hotlanta this week.  6. Baltimore Ravens (6-2) The Ravens don’t always make it easy but they find a way to get the job done. Baltimore leads a very competitive AFC North. The Ravens are the comeback kids of the 2021 NFL season. QB Lamar Jackson was the centerpiece of Baltimore’s 34-31 win in overtime vs. the Vikes. The Ravens overcome a double-digit deficit for the third time this season. Sunday was the Ravens' fourth win this season when having a win probability of 15 percent or lower at some point in the second half. Lamar Jackson and the cardiac kids are hard to kill. Ravens get top billing on TNF against Miami.  5. Los Angeles Rams (7-2) After Sunday, the Rams are about to trade a 2029 first-round pick for Jeffery Simmons. In a battle of top-10 heavyweights, the Rams fell short against the Titans, 28-16. With RB Derrick Henry out, Tennessee leaned on their defense and it worked. Rams QB Matthew Stafford has costly giveaways and missteps he’ll have to cleanup. Matthew Stafford’s MVP hype took a hit with the veteran quarterback throwing one real bad interception near their own goal line (shades of Carson Wentz) and another pick to post a 71.0 passer rating in the Rams’ second loss. Missed opportunity for LA to gain ground on the push for the No. 1 seed. They get MNF against rival 49ers.  4. Tennessee Titans (7-2) Tennessee now has five straight wins, with the last four coming over BUF, KC, IND, and LAR. No gimmes in that stretch. OK, fine, the Titans are more than just Derrick Henry. Happy? No King Henry? No problem. That defensive effort was highlighted by the Titans defense forcing two interceptions by Stafford only seconds apart on back-to-back throws. The second of which was taken back for a 24-yard score. The Titans will love if Henry gets back in time for a postseason run, but Tennessee showed they can more than keep their head above water without him. There aren’t many obvious losses left on the schedule. The Saints come marching in looking for an upset.  3. Green Bay Packers (7-2) Aaron Rodgers’ selfishness knocked the Packers out of the top seed in the NFC. Sunday’s loss to the Chiefs with Jordan Love at QB could be the difference between home-field advantage and a bye in the playoffs and a first-round date with the Rams or Cardinals. What a leader. Love struggled in his first-career start which came under weird circumstances. Thanks to QB Aaron Rodgers’ off-field, COVID-19 related distractions all week, the Packers’ loss to the Chiefs was more about that than anything else. The Seahawks are in Green Bay with Wilson back at QB.  2. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (6-2) The Bucs had perhaps the best bye week ever, with plenty of contenders losing. Tom Brady sat at home and watched the Saints, Cowboys, Packers and Rams all lose. That’ll do. This is the time of the year that Tom Brady looks to separate his team from the rest. t Washington Football Team Sunday.  1. Arizona Cardinals (8-1) And speaking of not having your best… Murray, Hopkins and WR AJ Green didn’t play and the depth pieces in Arizona still stood out. QB Colt McCoy and RB James Conner led a 31-17 win over the 49ers in a NFC West win. How are you supposed to not give the Cards your No. 1 spot this week? With Kyler Murray, DeAndre Hopkins, J.J. Watt and A.J. Green in sweatpants, the Cardinals bulldozed the 49ers at Levi’s Stadium. Take a bow, Kliff Kingsbury. Can Carolina pull a fast one this Sunday for the upset?

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First-Half Looks At Each NFL Team

by Stephen Nover

Tuesday, Nov 09, 2021

Now that every team in the NFL has played at least eight games, it's time to take stock of each one.Here are my thoughts and observations of the NFL teams. AFC East Buffalo: Even with that surprising loss to the Jaguars last week, I still say the Bills are the most complete team in football. I like my 30-1 ticket on Sean McDermott to be the Coach of the Year. New England: The Patriots aren't going to the Super Bowl. But Bill Belichick is doing one of his greatest coaching jobs. The Patriots are 5-4 despite having below .500 talent. New York Jets: Their defense has played with heart, but the Jets keep losing key defenders. The latest to go down is safety Marcus Maye. That's a huge loss. I see the Jets getting completely worn down as the season progresses. The Jets need to take the training wheels off Zach Wilson. Mike White showed how capable the Jets' offense is when they play loose. Miami: The Dolphins overachieved last season. This year they are one of the biggest underachievers. Just what is their identity? Oh wait, they don't have one. AFC NorthBaltimore: This is a team that knows how to win. Just not cover margins. Of the Ravens' first six victories, four have been by a combined 12 points, including one six-point victory in overtime. They are 1-5 against the spread (ATS) the six times they've been favored this season. Pittsburgh: Mike Tomlin quietly has done an outstanding job. T.J. Watt makes the Steelers' defense good, but it's far from great. The offense is mediocre with a work-in-progress offensive line and Ben Roethilisberger in his dotage. Cleveland: Just when you think you can trust Cleveland you can't. Don't expect much and then be surprised if anything good occurs is the recommended approach with the Browns. Good move by the Browns to part with Odell Beckham Jr. I will say, Beckham was open a lot and Baker Mayfield would miss him. Mayfield is a better commercial pitchman than NFL quarterback. I count 17 quarterbacks better than Mayfield. Cincinnati: Maybe it's because of Joe Burrow and his exciting group of wide receivers, but I find myself liking the Bengals more than in past seasons. Their mediocre play in the trenches, pedigree and coaching, though, likely will doom them to another year of missing the playoffs. AFC SouthTennessee: The Titans' beating the Bills, Chiefs, Colts and Rams during the past four weeks is the most impressive streak of the year. Can't take that away from them. I'm not even sure, however, that they win the division even though they currently lead the Colts by three games. The Titans have been outgained per play, surrendered big passing games to Carson Wentz and Zach Wilson and no longer have Derrick Henry. Those are red flags.Indianapolis: Carson Wentz is having a nice bounce back season. Jonathan Taylor is living up to preseason predictions as a top-five running back. It wouldn't shock me to see the Colts launch a serious challenge to the Titans for the division. The Colts don't have that It factor, though. Making the playoffs is about their ceiling. Jacksonville: Urban Meyer survived not being the first coach fired. He's been a joke, however, as an NFL coach. Trevor Lawrence hasn't thrown multiple TD passes since Week 1. That's on Meyer. Wentz gets coached up. Lawrence gets coached down.Houston: To paraphrase the late Dennis Green: ''The Texans are who we thought they were.'' But don't crown their asses. They are at expansion team level. Much of their destruction was caused by Bill O'Brien, who should never be allowed to work in the NFL again for how he ruined this once competitive franchise. As for DeShaun Watson forget it. When 22 women accuse you of assault and sexual misconduct you're guilty. He needs to be punished before being allowed to play again. AFC WestLos Angeles Chargers: Hard team to get a handle on. Joey Bosa and Derwin James are great players. Yet the Chargers rank 23rd in scoring defense. Justin Herbert, Austin Ekeler and Keenan Allen are among the best at their respective positions yet the Chargers are only 14th in scoring. The Chargers put up 47 points on the Browns, but just six points on the Ravens. I do find Brandon Staley a coaching upgrade on Anthony Lynn. It was a small bar for Staley. But special teams still hinder the Chargers. Las Vegas Raiders: Strong defensive improvement and a career year so far from Derek Carr have elevated the Raiders to a 5-3 mark. The fallout from Jon Gruden and tragedy caused by Henry Ruggs' recklessness and stupidity are going to be difficult to put in the past, though, even though both of them are off the team. Kansas City: Patrick Mahomes hasn't been playing like a God this season. I'd still take Mahomes over any other quarterback. But the Chiefs have committed an NFL-high 19 turnovers, which has made them the most disappointing team in the NFL at this juncture Denver: Despite their upset victory against the Cowboys, the Broncos aren't going anywhere. Too many key defensive injuries. Vic Fangio is an ace defensive coordinator overmatched as a head coach. I don't see the point of starting journeyman Teddy Bridgewater and giving Melvin Gordon so much work. Find out what Drew Lock can do and make Javon Williams their bellcow running back. NFC EastDallas: An explosive offense, an infusion of young defensive talent and much better defensive coaching courtesy of new defensive coordinator Dan Quinn have elevated the Cowboys into a serious NFC contender. The gap has become very wide between Dallas and the rest of the NFC East Lilliputians. Philadelphia: Nick Sirianni could prove one and done. Jalen Hurts is a far better fantasy football QB than a real one. The Eagles are 0-4 SU, 1-3 ATS during their first four home games. New York Giants: The Giants are below average in every facet. They have a dazzling array of skill position talent surrounding Daniel Jones. Unfortunately much of it has been sidelined. Only once in their first nine games have the Giants managed to score more than 25 points in regulation. They have yet to reach the 30-point barrier. Washington: The defense has been missing in action all season. That was an unexpected bad development. But Washington was setting itself up for failure opening the season with Ryan Fitzpatrick as the starting QB. Backup Taylor Heinicke's limitations become more pronounced as the season grows longer. NFC NorthGreen Bay: An upper tier offense and improved defensive coaching make the Packers a serious Super Bowl contender. The Packers do have an Achilles' heel - special teams. It has been terrible for years. Their coverage and return teams remain as bad as ever. Minnesota: I'm embarrassed to admit that I pegged the Vikings to win the division. Instead Minnesota has regressed. The Vikings' offensive line still isn't good. Kirk Cousins hasn't shaken his deserved reputation as a glorified game manager and now the defense is down because of injuries to Danielle Hunter and Patrick Peterson. Mike Zimmer is on the hot seat. Chicago: Justin Fields is an exciting talent. However, he can't overcome his inexperience, nor the bad coaching he's getting.  The Bears' defense is not the dominant unit it once was so the offense doesn't get bailed out. Detroit: Dan Campbell is a sympathetic character. Imagine having the worst wide receiving group in recent memory plus multiple injuries that have thinned out what already was a weak starting lineup. Detroit isn't bad enough, though, to go 0-17.NFC SouthTampa Bay: How remarkable is Tom Brady? He entered his bye week on pace to throw for 5,631 yards and 53 TD's. The Buccaneers have a stout run defense. Once the injuries in their secondary heal they will definitely be the team to beat again if they aren't already. New Orleans: They didn't seem to miss Drew Brees last season. They miss him this season. I don't see the Saints making a playoff run with a QB combination of Trevor Siemian/Taysom Hill throwing to below average wide receivers. Atlanta: The Falcons never fully recovered from blowing the Super Bowl to the Patriots. They are 22-34 the past four years, including 4-4 this season. Atlanta is in no-man's land. Not a bottom feeder, but not a playoff team either. Matt Ryan is 36. I don't see a quick fix working for them. Carolina: There's some outstanding young defensive talent on this team. It doesn't matter. Even if Christian McCaffrey is back to 100 percent, the Panthers aren't ever going to win this division until they find the right quarterback. Sam Darnold is injured and seeing ghosts again. He has a 4-to-10 touchdown-to-interception ratio in his last six games. NFC WestArizona: The league's biggest surprise at 8-1. I don't see the Cardinals keeping this up with Kyler Murray and DeAndre Hopkins both banged-up. Los Angeles Rams: I like the Rams' all-in approach. Matthew Stafford finally is with the right team with the right coach. Cooper Kupp has been the league's best wide receiver so far. Aaron Donald is the No. 1 defensive lineman in the NFC if not all of football. Jalen Ramsey is in the argument for being the top cornerback. That's serious star power.Seattle: The Seahawks are poised to make a move with Russell Wilson back from his thumb injury. This is a team that never should be counted out. San Francisco: Kyle Shanahan is the most overrated coach in the league. The 49ers are 3-5 and have yet to play the Rams. San Francisco hasn't beaten an above .500 team. The 49ers' three victories occurred versus the Lions, Eagles and Bears whose combined record is 6-20. If they lose at home to the Rams on Monday it's time to begin the Trey Lance era. 

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