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NFL Week 7: Top 10 Rankings

by Wayne Root

Thursday, Oct 21, 2021

As we enter into bye weeks:   1. Tampa Bay Buccaneers, 5-1  Tom Brady leads the league in passing, but he'll face a tougher challenge against the Bears' defense Sunday in Tampa. The Bucs have played well from the outset this season after often struggling last season before beginning their championship push in December. The biggest issue now is the depleted secondary, How important is newly signed CB Richard Sherman injury? 2. Arizona Cardinals, 6-0  Could this be there downfall moving forward? The Cards have NFL-high 24 coronavirus cases within organization entering Week 7. Last week; No head coach? No matter. The Cardinals still won Sunday in Cleveland minus Kliff Kingsbury. They remain the league’s only unbeaten team, and there’s no doubting at this point that they are for real. It's a long season -- remember, the Steelers started 11-0 last year -- but there's not much you can criticize the Cardinals for right now. RIGHT?  3. Los Angeles Rams, 5-1 Matthew Stafford was sharp and the Rams were dominant while beating the Giants. The Rams scored 28 points in the second quarter against the Giants. That will work. Former Rams quarterback, Jared Goff is returning home this week. Didn’t he have any WR’s? WR Cooper Kupp appears headed for a career year, leading the league in targets (68) – the only NFL player with at least 10 in every game – receptions (46) and TD grabs (7). 4. Baltimore Ravens, 5-1  Quite a statement by the Ravens, who demolished one of the hottest teams in the league; the Chargers.They overwhelmed the Chargers in Baltimore. Lamar Jackson wasn’t superhuman this time, but he didn’t need to be. Latavius Murray, Le’Veon Bell and Devonta Freeman provided rushing touchdowns on a turn-back-the-clock day for the team’s veteran backs. 5. Dallas Cowboys, 5-1  Could this be Jerry’s year? That game in New England was one the Cowboys used to lose. It wasn't pretty, but they found a way to win. Dallas leads the NFC with 14 takeaways – with at least two in 10 consecutive games for the first time since 1976-77. Coordinator Dan Quinn and Co. are getting it done. The Cowboys had a memorable victory and a three-game lead in the NFC East to savor entering a bye week that provides time for Prescott’s calf injury to heal. Yes! It will be Jerry’s year.  6. Green Bay Packers, 5-1  Aaron Rodgers taunted the fans in Chicago. He could have chosen his words more tactfully, but the “I still own you” sentiments were accurate, given his 22-5 career record against the Bears. Rodgers and the Packers have been fantastic since their opening loss to the Saints. The Packers still don't look like a true Super Bowl contender, but they could get stronger as the season goes along as key players return from injury.  7. Buffalo Bills, 4-2 The Bills looked practically unbeatable during their four-game winning streak. But the Titans showed that, while the Bills are very good, they certainly can be beaten. I didn't hate the decision by Sean McDermott to go for the win on fourth down instead of playing for overtime. The Titans just made a better play. Look how that loss affected Buffalo. The Bills are now projected as the conference's fourth playoff seed through six weeks. 8. Los Angeles Chargers, 4-2  That was a dud of a performance in the lopsided loss Sunday in Baltimore. Just when the Chargers had begun to seem trustworthy, they reverted to being the Chargers. It was a bit of a reality check for the Chargers in Baltimore, but this is a good team that will bounce back. However the opponents game plans are to rush. They're also now the league's worst team defending the run. 9. Kansas City Chiefs, 3-3  They’re not back to being the mighty Chiefs. Not yet. Patrick Mahomes might have thrown the worst interception of his career in Washington, but he also made some big plays to win. They’re still in the basement but least, are back to .500. Tennessee might send to where there are no chance for the playoffs.  10. Tennessee Titans, 4-2  It's probably time to stop sleeping on the Titans. They had a bad loss against the Jets, but still appear to be a very good team. Derrick Henry was terrific Monday night, and the Titans used a late fourth-down stop by their defense to hold off the Bills. But seriously, how did they ever lose to the Jets?———————-These teams want in!!11. New Orleans 12. Cincinnati 13. Cleveland 14. Carolina 15. Minnesota 

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Nover's View: Point spread thoughts on 7 and Lions

by Stephen Nover

Tuesday, Oct 19, 2021

The two topics in today's NFL column are the point spread number 7 and the Detroit Lions. I'll save the worst for last. So let's begin with 7. We all know 3 is the most important point spread number in football. The next most significant point spread number is 4. Then 7. However, 7 is not nearly as important as it used to be. This is because of more missed extra points and teams understanding analytics thus attempting 2-point conversions more frequently. The value between 6 and 7 isn't nearly what it once was because of these factors. A team winning by exactly seven points has happened five times this season in 94 games through the quarter mark of the season. That's 5.3 percent compared to 7.4 percent the number of times a team has won by exactly six points this season. Note that twice of the five instances it was underdogs that won by exactly seven points. There were a couple of times, the latest being the Cowboys beating the Patriots, where a team won by six in overtime and not seven because there was no extra point try with the outcome decided. Conclusion being don't spend money buying extra juice to get 7 if taking 6 1/2, or laying 7 1/2. Not worth it. Now on to the Lions. Ever heard of Amon-Ra St. Brown, Kalif Raymond, KhaDarel Hodge, Tom Kennedy and Geronimo Allison? Didn't think so. Those are Detroit's wide receivers. I've been watching the NFL for 58 years and have never seen a less distinguished group of wide receivers. Tyrell Williams was supposed to be the Lions' No. 1 wideout after Kenny Golladay went to the Giants. Williams is injured. So is Quinten Cephus, who was the lone wide receiver to display some potential. Unfortunately, he suffered a broken collarbone and is out for the year. Jared Goff was only effective with the Rams when the setting was right, which meant playing in LA's nice weather with excellent weapons and backed by the coaching of offensive guru Sean McVay. Goff is exposed with the Lions as the timid downfield passer that he is unable to make any of his wideouts better. Aside from tight end T.J. Hockenson and running back D'Andre Swift, Goff has extremely limited talent around him. That's true. But Goff doesn't do anything to elevate this talent. Despite being the only winless team in the NFL and hit hard by injuries - on both sides of the ball - the Lions still display effort. They held the Ravens, Bears and Vikings to an average of 20.6 points in their three previous games before getting clobbered, 34-11, by the Bengals this past Sunday. You can't make it in today's NFL without a semblance of a passing attack. The Lions lack this. Detroit has failed to break 17 points since Week 1. The Lions are averaging 15.2 points in their last five games. The last time they scored a touchdown in the first half was on their opening drive back in Week 2. So what do you do with the Lions besides watch another game? Feel bad for Dan Campbell and bet the Under. The Lions have gone Under in each of their last four games. They've gone below the total by a combined 43 1/2 points during this span.

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NFL Week 6: Top 10 Teams

by Wayne Root

Thursday, Oct 14, 2021

1. Buffalo Bills, 4-1 There’s currently a gap between the Bills and everyone else. So it's only right to put the Bills at No. 1 after a convincing win in Kansas City. Josh Allen has the offense humming and this team looks like its the best in the AFC right now. Difficult MNF game this week.  2. Tampa Bay Buccaneers, 4-1 Remember Tom Brady's inexplicable loss on "Thursday Night Football" against the Bears last year? Yeah, he probably does too. However, Brady continues to play ridiculous football for his age and the Bucs' lock in at No. 2  3. Arizona Cardinals, 5-0  The last unbeaten team still has work to do to get to the very top of the list.The Cardinals weren’t great against the 49ers last week…but won. The defense has come around and was flying all over the field against the 49ers and if that's sustained, the Cardinals look like a legitimate threat in the NFC.  4. Los Angeles Rams, 4-1  Are the Rams even the best team in L.A? The gap is getting narrower. The Rams got a little bit of a break with Russell Wilson getting hurt, but anytime you leave Seattle with a win, it's a good thing. They’re a double digit favorite this week.   5. Los Angeles Chargers, 4-1 What a game against the Browns. Justin Herbert is crazy good and the Chargers are for real. They don’t like to punt or kick field goals and get huge smiles at any fourth and whatever. They”ll go for it from anywhere. They need to play a powerhouse team and win both sides of the ball to prove a few things.   6. Dallas Cowboys, 4-1  Putting up 44 on the Giants is good. Maybe not great but more than expected. The Cowboys have been enjoying a soft schedule the last few weeks and they have another game they should win Sunday at New England. Both sides of the ball are in harmony.   7. Baltimore Ravens, 4-1  The Ravens were awfully sleepy early against the Colts, but woke up in a big way. The Ravens discovered their passing game, by necessity. That could take the offense, and the team, to new heights. Lamar Jackson had an all-time performance.  8. Cleveland Browns, 3-2 They could be 5-0. After Sunday, they actually could be 3-3. The Browns tried to out score the Chargers and forgot about playing any kind of defense. They'll face a tough test this week against The Gunslinger from Arizona.   9. Green Bay Packers, 4-1  Their all-star kicker had three misses before getting lucky to even get another opportunity from the Bengals. It certainly wasn't pretty, but the Packers survived in Cincinnati. They can seize control of the NFC North with a win at Soldier Field Sunday.  10. Kansas City Chiefs, 2-3  The Chiefs are still very talented, but they seem stuck in the classic Super Bowl hangover. The good news is they have Patrick Mahomes and can probably get out of it. After Mahomes big payday, does KC have any money left for defense? Who would have predicted they’d be under .500 after five weeks.   —————— They’re coming after you!! 11. Cincinnati 12. Tennessee  13. New Orleans  14. Seattle  15. Denver

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