Ross Benjamin - Chicago Bears vs Detroit Lions

Ross’ Thanksgiving Early NFL 5* Golden Total

Handicapper
Ross Benjamin
League
NFL
Competition
Chicago Bears vs Detroit Lions
Time
11/25/2021 12:30 PM
Bet Type
Over / Under
Pick
Chicago Bears vs Detroit Lions Over 41.5 (-108) (BetRivers)
Outcome
Loss
Analysis
Chicago @ Detroit 9:30 PM ET Game# 105-106 Play On: Over 41.5 (5*) This total opened at 45.0 and quickly moved to 41.5.due to the uncertain status of Rams starting quarterback Jared Goff and Chicago starter Justin Fields being ruled out. In Chicago’s case, you can do a lot worse than Andy Dalton as your backup. This is also a meeting of the #29 and #30 scoring offenses in the NFL and bettors have pounded the under like it’s found money on their doorstep. Furthermore, Detroit has played 7-1 to the under during its last 8 games. Additionally, Chicago has played 7-2 to the under during their previous 9 games. It’s very seldom as easy as the data suggests and I’m banking heavily on that being the case in this contest. Chicago will be able to run the ball with a high degree of success which will open up some play action passing opportunities. Conversely, the Lions have allowed 34 points or more in 3 of 4 home games. The same can be said for Detroit with the emergence of running back D’Andre Swift looking so good over the last 2 games. Since 2019, Chicago has played 3-0 to the over as a road favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 and there was a combined 43.8 points scored per game. The Bears have also played 5-1 to the over in division road games since 2019 with a combined average of 51.4 points scored per game. Lastly, since 2019, Detroit has played 10-2 to the over as a home underdog of 7.0 or less and there was a combined 56.6 points scored per contest. Bet this game to go over the total.

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