Stephen Nover - Boston Celtics vs Miami Heat

Stephen Nover's NBA May Game of the Month

Handicapper
Stephen Nover
League
NBA
Competition
Boston Celtics vs Miami Heat
Time
05/25/2022 08:30 PM
Bet Type
Moneyline
Pick
Boston Celtics -120 (Play MGM)
Outcome
Win
Analysis
This Eastern Conference Final is tied 2-2, but it's my clear belief the Celtics are the superior team. That's especially the case with the Heat dealing with so many injuries. Boston has outscored Miami by 28 points in the series. The Celtics have outrebounded the Heat the past two games by an average of 15 1/2 boards. The Celtics are the top defensive team in the league. The Heat are not effective when they are being outrebounded and not hitting from beyond the arc. I don't see that pattern changing here.  Being on the road shouldn't make a difference for the Celtics. Boston is 19-6-1 (76 percent) ATS in its last 26 away contests, including 5-1-1 ATS during the playoffs.  Then there are the Miami injuries. Jimmy Butler is dealing with a sore knee. Tyler Herro has a sore quad. It's bothered his long-range shooting as he's made only one of 14 3-point shots during the series. Kyle Lowery is back playing, but he isn't right. He scored three points in the last game while having a negative 27 during his court time. 

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