- Analysis
- At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Chicago Bulls minus the points over Golden State. These two teams met earlier this season in San Francisco, and the Warriors crushed Chicago, 119-93, as a 5.5-point home favorite. The Warriors, though, were in the midst of playing their best basketball of the season, as they had won (and covered) their six previous games by an average of 20.66 ppg. And, then, subsequent to their 26-point win over the Bulls, the Warriors went on to win (and cover) seven of their next eight games. Overall, in that 4-week, 14-1 SU/ATS stretch of basketball, the Warriors won by an average of 16.53 ppg, and covered the spread by 9.96 ppg. Since that time, the Warriors have come crashing down to earth. They're 12-9 SU, but 8-12-1 ATS, and have only won by an average of 2.19 ppg, and have failed to cover the spread by -2.09 ppg. Golden State's worst point spread subset in this downturn is on the road, where it is 3-8-1 ATS. And it's 0-7-1 ATS when the game is competitively-priced with a point spread of less than 5 points. Take Chicago. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
