Amedeus Mastrangelo - Crystal Palace vs Brighton & Hove Albion

AMEDEUS' EPL SAUCY SET-PIECE!

Handicapper
Amedeus Mastrangelo
League
SOCCER
Competition
Crystal Palace vs Brighton & Hove Albion
Time
01/14/2022 03:00 PM
Bet Type
Over / Under
Pick
Crystal Palace vs Brighton & Hove Albion Under 2.5 (-143) (BetRivers)
Outcome
Win
Analysis
Brighton is coming into this match with a heavy trend to the under in their recent matches. They have gone under 2.5 goals in 8 of their last 10 matches. When playing at home, they have gone under 2.5 goals in their last 4 straight matches and in 6 of their last 7. Brighton has been playing very well on defense in their recent home matches only allowing 2 goals in their last 4 matches at home. Their defense has been really good all year as well as they have only allowed 20 goals in 19 matches played averaging just barely over 1 goal allowed per match. Their attack is not very strong though and they have also scored just 20 goals in 19 matches averaging the same as they allow. They are even stingier in defense at home as they have allowed 9 goals in 9 matches and have only scored 8 goals in those 9 matches. They are going up against a Crystal Palace side that have not been trending to the under in their recent matches but that is a very unusual trend for them compared to the rest of their year. They have gone over 2.5 goals in 6 straight matches but this will be the one that cracks that streak. Crystal Palace does not have a strong attack and they are going to have trouble getting through the Brighton defense here. Crystal Palace have not scored a goal in their last 3 EPL matches away from home. They have struggled to score in matches away from home all year though as they have scored 9 goals in 9 away matches. Neither of these teams have good attacks here and both play pretty well on the defensive side of the ball. This should be a low scoring match that stays under 2.5 goals.

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